Daily insights for city builders, delivered every morning at 6 AM ET. I’m Brandon Donnelly — a Toronto-based real estate developer and founder of Globizen. I’ve been writing here since 2013.

Toronto approves new Rental Housing Supply Program

This past week, Toronto City Council approved the launch of a new affordable housing initiative called the Rental Housing Supply Program. Here’s the agenda item if you’d like to dive into the details and read some of the supporting reports. There are a number of components to the program, and one of them is a subsidy that will be administered by way of a forgivable interest-free loan:

Subject to the adoption of the Rental Housing Supply Program, the City will continue to support RGI and affordable rental homes through the allocation of up to $260,000 per eligible affordable rental and RGI home. This is the maximum allowable funding allocation under the Rental Housing Supply Program. Actual funding per project will be determined based on the evaluation of applications on a site-by-site basis, in consultation with the Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer, and based on project parameters and additional sources of funding that can be leveraged to support the project’s financial viability. These funds will be provided as interest free forgivable loans to eligible and approved projects and will be tied to milestones and requirements in agreements with housing providers.

Total funding for the program is $351 million. And the intent is that these funds will be distributed in the near term to 18 affordable housing projects in the city, all of which are expected to start construction sometime between now and the end of 2025. In total, this is anticipated to create about 6,000 new affordable rental homes. That’s a good thing.

Now, I don’t know anything about these projects. I don’t know if $260k is the right figure. And I don’t know if a forgivable interest-free loan is the exact right mechanism to deliver these funds. But what the program does do is recognize this: Deeply affordable housing cannot be built without some form of subsidy.

Developers are often criticized for only building expensive housing. But the reality is that developers are, for the most part, takers of market pricing. In other words, we can’t just decide to build for less. We can reduce build and finish quality to get costs down, but at a certain point, the cost to build is the cost to build.

And if that cost to build isn’t what the market would view as affordable, then you’re not going to get there without a subsidy. No developer is going to build if their expected revenues are less than their costs. Directionally, that’s what this new program appears to recognize.

One response to “Toronto approves new Rental Housing Supply Program”

  1. Scott Baker Avatar
    Scott Baker

    As someone who tried to develop a major project, I think there is another interpretation to financing. Developers seldom, or never, have enough money on their own to develop a multi-million, or multi-billion dollar project, so they rely on outside investors and institutions. Those investors have millions to billions, and so they have a lot of choices where to put their money, including places that deliver above retail asset market ROIs.

    30% ROI over roughly 5 years is fairly typical here in NYC for a major project, but it’s high risk where anyone can object and hold up a project for months or even years. Court battles add to the costs. Time is LOTS of money too.

    All of this adds up to an expectation for above average ROI from the investor. So, it’s not just the cost to build that thwarts major projects, it’s the competition for alternative investments. Is that greed? Maybe, but if so, it’s across the entire asset spectrum, not just housing. A hedge fund was interested in our project, and they could and did, invest in many other things. To them, this would have been just another investment. If the ROI wasn’t to their liking, they couldn’t care less if it provided housing, affordable or otherwise. Of course, affordable housing means less ROI, so you’re left both trying to convince investors that the ROI is enough and the project won’t get built if they don’t compromise to get approval, and trying to convince the city politicians (and state and federal in our case) to compromise on the amount of affordable housing so that investors won’t walk away. The developer is caught in the middle trying to appease both sides, plus all the advocacy groups wanting more housing too, and the NIMBYs trying to prevent it!

    It’s never going to be easy, even if it pencils out.

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