Sprawl is how much of the US provides new housing, and so it's interesting to ask the opposite question: Which cities are actually building new housing in walkable neighborhoods? Here is a study published this week by the Terner Center for Housing Innovation at UC Berkeley that looked at exactly this. What they did was divide all US neighborhoods into five categories based on vehicle miles traveled (VMT) per resident in 2023.

The categories:

• Very Low VMT - 12 miles per person per day

• Low VMT - 17.3 miles per person per day

• Mid VMT - 21 miles per person per day

• High VMT - 25.5 miles per person per day

• Very High VMT - 37.5 miles per person day

These seem like oddly specific distances, but it's what they used to sort new housing supply. Here's all of the US:

Since the 1950s, new home production in very low VMT neighborhoods has generally been declining. Most of the lower VMT stuff was built before the 1940s, which is why New York City is so walkable and its chart looks like this:

Most newer cities do not build in this way. In fact, based on this study, there are only five large metro areas in the US that have (1) built at least 15% of their total housing since 2000 (meaning, they're a younger city) and (2) built at least 40% of their homes over the last decade in lower-VMT neighborhoods (very low and low).

These metro regions are:

This is not that many cities. At the same time, is it even the right benchmark to be aspiring to? "Lower VMT" just means you don't need to drive as much as you might in other neighborhoods. But it doesn't necessarily mean that you live in an amenity-rich and walkable community. What about the new homes being built in neighborhoods where people don't need a car at all? How many of these exist?

Very few, I'm sure.

Cover photo by Jo Heubeck & Domi Pfenninger on Unsplash