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Brandon Donnelly

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seattle(52)
April 25, 2022

What Seattle learned from its electric scooter pilot program

Electric scooters are an unsanctioned form of mobility here in Toronto, mostly because people think they're dangerous, but also because I think people are worried about them cluttering up our sidewalks.

The problem with this position is that electric scooters are also a lot of fun to ride and people seem to find them useful. The last time I rode one was in Paris and it seemed perfectly safe to me, though it may have been because there were two of us on it and we were kind of overloading the thing.

In any event, lots of cities either have them or are piloting them. Seattle just finished year one of its pilot program and here's what they learned:

  • From September 2020 to October 2021, Seattle saw 1.4 million trips taken by over 260,000 riders

  • Electric scooter ridership greatly exceeded that of public bicycles, with 300,000 scooter trips taken in September alone, compared to about 35,000 bike trips

  • 54% of surveyed scooter riders said that they would have taken a taxi or driven their personal vehicle had a scooter not been available

  • 21% of riders said that they used it to connect to public transit (helping to solve that pesky last-mile problem)

  • 17 collisions involving a scooter and a car were reported during the pilot year (though, for what it's worth, some/many of the incidents involved a scooter that was privately owned and not part of the actual pilot program)

As much as I love riding a bike, it's a bit more of a commitment compared to riding an e-scooter, which is why I think the numbers look the way that they do here. Not everybody wants to bring a change of clothes and shower at the office.

So I think it's really too bad that Toronto just shut these down before exploring ways to make them both safe and useful.

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March 14, 2022

Where US students want to live after college

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Axios and Generation Lab have something new called the Next Cities Index. The goal is to track US work and culture trends through people's geographic preferences. For their first cities index, they asked over 2,100 students in the US, on two separate occasions, the following question: "Considering all factors that matter to you, where would you most like to live after college?"

The aggregate answer to this question is shown above. But they also collected people's incomes (anticipated since they're students?), political affiliations, and gender. The list of cities changes slightly when you sort based on these different factors, but not by much. Seattle, New York, and Los Angeles remain top cities -- at least in people's minds.

It is, however, interesting to note that about 45% of respondents had different answers to where they want to live and where they think they will live. For a number of reasons, the city of people's dreams isn't often a practical or realistic choice it would seem. Still, wanting a particular place still tells you certain things I suppose.

Given all the chatter over this pandemic, I would have thought that Miami would have appeared higher up on this want list.

Chart: Axios/Generation Lab

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November 6, 2021

Largest US cities grew faster and became more diverse over the last decade

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The last decade has been pretty good for many cities. Recent 2020 Census data tells us that of the 50 largest cities in the US, 46 of them grew their population over the last 10 years. On average, these 50 cities grew by about 8.5%, compared to 5.6% for the decade between 2000-2010.

As you might expect, the fastest growing cities tended to be in the south and the west. The top 3 fastest growing cities over the last decade were Fort Worth (24%), Austin (21.7%), and Seattle (21.1%). The cities with the biggest population declines were Detroit (-10.5%), Baltimore (-5.7%), Milwaukee (-3%).

It's important to keep in mind that city boundaries can skew these numbers depending on how they are drawn. A declining "city" population doesn't necessarily mean that the broader urban area is losing people. Though it does still tell you something about the "city."

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Another thing that happened over the last decade is that most of the largest US cities continued to become more diverse. In 2000, white populations were a majority (>50%) in 25 of the 50 largest cities. This dropped to 17 cities in 2010 and then 14 cities last year (2020). Meaning that 36 of the largest cities are now "white minority" cities.

For more data check out this recent article from Brookings.

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Brandon Donnelly

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Brandon Donnelly

Daily insights for city builders. Published since 2013 by Toronto-based real estate developer Brandon Donnelly.

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