Daily insights for city builders, delivered every morning at 6 AM ET. I’m Brandon Donnelly — a Toronto-based real estate developer and founder of Globizen. I’ve been writing here since 2013.

The occasional good decision

Perhaps the greatest lesson from Warren Buffet’s most recent letter to Berkshire shareholders is that, to be wildly successful, you only have to be right sometimes:

In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck.

Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire.

The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.

So-so decisions. Periodic moments of brilliance. And a long-term patient outlook. These are, I think, important things to keep in mind. It’s okay to make mistakes; you just have to keep going.

2 responses to “The occasional good decision”

  1. Myron Nebozuk Avatar
    Myron Nebozuk

    Years ago, at a lecture, Phillipe Starck said essentially the same thing. He was talking about the design process of his famous lemon squeezer (the object that looks like a challenger to Mr. Incredible). Starck asked the audience how many design decisions were needed to design this object. Five? Ten? Fifty? More like a thousand, if we include the conversations he had with the fabricators. Starck then stated that “most of the design decisions face in the same direction. Some do not. A few design decisions actively work against the design. I hope that you don’t see any of those”. He’s right; this juicer exudes purity, integrity and joy. Only later, much later, one bad design decision emerges. It is the decision to craft this juicer out of aluminum, a material that reacts with citric acid to accelerate the onset of Alzheimer’s IF you drink the juice.

  2. Chris Dulaba Avatar
    Chris Dulaba

    Sounds very similar to real estate development. Sometimes a project is so-so, other times it’s not great and other times you hit it out of the park.

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