I have never rented a self-storage unit. I have stored things at my parents' places during certain periods of my life, such as when I moved to the US for grad school, but as a general rule, I never seem to conclude that I have too much stuff and that I should maybe rent some storage. However, I do on occasion fantasize about having a garage or large "man cave" where I could store an assortment of exotic snowboards, bicycles, and other life essentials. I mean, who doesn't, right?

In any event, I seem to be in the minority, because self-storage is a growing real estate asset class:

Investors have dramatically increased their allocation to self-storage over the last several years [in the US]. A rush into the asset class occurred from 2020 to 2022, when transaction volume hit $50 billion, far exceeding the $35 billion spent during the entire seven‑year period from 2013 to 2020, according to Cushman & Wakefield. Transaction volumes are now normalized but remain well above their pre‑pandemic baseline.

Moreover:

It proved to be the best-performing sector in the NCREIF Property Index from 2005 to 2022, with returns since 2010 nearly double that of the overall index.

So what's driving this? Some of the explanations include a frozen housing market, millennials who haven't yet bought a garage and are starved for room, and small-scale entrepreneurs who use it as cheap warehouse space. According to some reports, this latter use case accounts for nearly a third of total demand. And this makes sense to me. But generally, I have tended to apply an egocentric bias to this asset class. My mind discounts it because I don't personally use it.

One way to look at self-storage is that it represents the "unbundling of residential real estate." Housing has gotten so expensive that we continue to search for ways to make it smaller and more efficient. One second-order consequence of this is that storage now needs to be disaggregated and moved to an off-site location where land is cheaper and the build costs are lower. From this perspective, there are strong structural reasons for the sector's growth.

There are also noteworthy differences between Canada and the US. Americans use self-storage at roughly 2 to 3x the rate of Canadians when measured by square footage per capita. Is this because Americans are bigger consumers and have more stuff? Or is it because the industry is more mature and built out at this point? It's likely both of these factors.

According to Avison Young, the supply of new self-storage in Canada is projected to nearly double year-over-year from under 1 million square feet in 2025 to over 1.8 million square feet in 2026. Another specific demographic factor contributing to this growth is Canada's aging population. People are downsizing and then needing to put their stuff somewhere. How long this stuff stays in storage, I don't know, but it's there.

I think the personal tension I have with self-storage is that there's a big part of me that aspires to have less stuff. When I travel, I take great pride in often packing only a carry-on. There's something liberating about having everything I need in one roller. Less is more. But then again, I could really use a new commuter bicycle and I have been meaning to get into splitboarding. How much do those storage units cost again?

Cover photo by Aga Adamek on Unsplash

My dad sent me an article from Canoe Financial over the weekend that included the chart below. What it shows is that corporate equities and mutual fund shares now make up a greater percentage of household wealth in the US than residential real estate for only the second time since 1990.

From a macro perspective, and when you consider the popularity of index funds, this means that American households probably have a lot of their wealth concentrated in high-growth tech stocks. And since these stocks are being driven higher largely due to the promise of AI, there's perhaps a concentration risk for US households.

The other thing this chart made me wonder about was what it would look like for Canadian households.

According to these net worth indicators released by Statistics Canada in October 2025, real estate as a share of total household assets was sitting at 41.8%. Financial assets as a share of total assets were at 53.4%, but this includes life insurance and pensions, which are not included in the US chart.

If we remove this line item, we're left with "other financial assets" at 37.8%. However, this account also includes cash deposits, bonds, foreign investments, and other receivables, which I also don't think are carried in the US chart. So net-net, Canadian household wealth is composed of real estate at 41.8% and corporate equities at some number below 37.8%.

Real estate is the larger net worth account for Canadian households. Whether this is good or bad is a topic for another post, but there's certainly an argument to be made that Canadians are over-indexing on real estate at the expense of investing in new ideas and businesses.

Cover photo by Daniela Araya on Unsplash

Architecture billings are typically viewed as a leading indicator for the development industry. That's because, in order to build things, you need permits. And in order to get permits, you need architects to draw things.

So every month, the American Institute of Architects surveys design firms as a way to determine how the industry is doing. The primary question it asks is: Have your billings increased, decreased, or stayed the same in the month that just ended? Based on the proportion of respondents choosing each option, an Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score is created.

A score of 50 means there has been no change in billings from the previous month. A score above 50 indicates an increase. And a score below 50 indicates a decrease. Here's this score for August 2024 to August 2025:

Billings are down across the US. In fact, the survey notes that the value of design contracts has declined for an 18th consecutive month, marking the longest period of decline since the survey started 15 years ago. This is true across all regions, though the South has the best relative performance and the West has the worst. The commercial/industrial sector also appears to have the best relative performance, which, I'm only guessing, could be a result of things like data centers.

I don't have perfectly comparable data for Canada, but I know that architecture billings are way down in markets like Toronto and Vancouver. Architecture and development firms continue to lay off people, which is the strongest kind of indicator.

One of the things I always find interesting is how globally connected we all are. Real estate may be a local business, but it does depend on global capital flows and overall sentiment. The US market is soft. The Canadian market is soft — with some markets being largely shut off, to be more precise. And when I was in Paris last month, I heard a lot of the same from architects and developers (except from those able to subsist on government work).

Images: AIA / Detek ABI (August 2025)

I have never rented a self-storage unit. I have stored things at my parents' places during certain periods of my life, such as when I moved to the US for grad school, but as a general rule, I never seem to conclude that I have too much stuff and that I should maybe rent some storage. However, I do on occasion fantasize about having a garage or large "man cave" where I could store an assortment of exotic snowboards, bicycles, and other life essentials. I mean, who doesn't, right?

In any event, I seem to be in the minority, because self-storage is a growing real estate asset class:

Investors have dramatically increased their allocation to self-storage over the last several years [in the US]. A rush into the asset class occurred from 2020 to 2022, when transaction volume hit $50 billion, far exceeding the $35 billion spent during the entire seven‑year period from 2013 to 2020, according to Cushman & Wakefield. Transaction volumes are now normalized but remain well above their pre‑pandemic baseline.

Moreover:

It proved to be the best-performing sector in the NCREIF Property Index from 2005 to 2022, with returns since 2010 nearly double that of the overall index.

So what's driving this? Some of the explanations include a frozen housing market, millennials who haven't yet bought a garage and are starved for room, and small-scale entrepreneurs who use it as cheap warehouse space. According to some reports, this latter use case accounts for nearly a third of total demand. And this makes sense to me. But generally, I have tended to apply an egocentric bias to this asset class. My mind discounts it because I don't personally use it.

One way to look at self-storage is that it represents the "unbundling of residential real estate." Housing has gotten so expensive that we continue to search for ways to make it smaller and more efficient. One second-order consequence of this is that storage now needs to be disaggregated and moved to an off-site location where land is cheaper and the build costs are lower. From this perspective, there are strong structural reasons for the sector's growth.

There are also noteworthy differences between Canada and the US. Americans use self-storage at roughly 2 to 3x the rate of Canadians when measured by square footage per capita. Is this because Americans are bigger consumers and have more stuff? Or is it because the industry is more mature and built out at this point? It's likely both of these factors.

According to Avison Young, the supply of new self-storage in Canada is projected to nearly double year-over-year from under 1 million square feet in 2025 to over 1.8 million square feet in 2026. Another specific demographic factor contributing to this growth is Canada's aging population. People are downsizing and then needing to put their stuff somewhere. How long this stuff stays in storage, I don't know, but it's there.

I think the personal tension I have with self-storage is that there's a big part of me that aspires to have less stuff. When I travel, I take great pride in often packing only a carry-on. There's something liberating about having everything I need in one roller. Less is more. But then again, I could really use a new commuter bicycle and I have been meaning to get into splitboarding. How much do those storage units cost again?

Cover photo by Aga Adamek on Unsplash

My dad sent me an article from Canoe Financial over the weekend that included the chart below. What it shows is that corporate equities and mutual fund shares now make up a greater percentage of household wealth in the US than residential real estate for only the second time since 1990.

From a macro perspective, and when you consider the popularity of index funds, this means that American households probably have a lot of their wealth concentrated in high-growth tech stocks. And since these stocks are being driven higher largely due to the promise of AI, there's perhaps a concentration risk for US households.

The other thing this chart made me wonder about was what it would look like for Canadian households.

According to these net worth indicators released by Statistics Canada in October 2025, real estate as a share of total household assets was sitting at 41.8%. Financial assets as a share of total assets were at 53.4%, but this includes life insurance and pensions, which are not included in the US chart.

If we remove this line item, we're left with "other financial assets" at 37.8%. However, this account also includes cash deposits, bonds, foreign investments, and other receivables, which I also don't think are carried in the US chart. So net-net, Canadian household wealth is composed of real estate at 41.8% and corporate equities at some number below 37.8%.

Real estate is the larger net worth account for Canadian households. Whether this is good or bad is a topic for another post, but there's certainly an argument to be made that Canadians are over-indexing on real estate at the expense of investing in new ideas and businesses.

Cover photo by Daniela Araya on Unsplash

Architecture billings are typically viewed as a leading indicator for the development industry. That's because, in order to build things, you need permits. And in order to get permits, you need architects to draw things.

So every month, the American Institute of Architects surveys design firms as a way to determine how the industry is doing. The primary question it asks is: Have your billings increased, decreased, or stayed the same in the month that just ended? Based on the proportion of respondents choosing each option, an Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score is created.

A score of 50 means there has been no change in billings from the previous month. A score above 50 indicates an increase. And a score below 50 indicates a decrease. Here's this score for August 2024 to August 2025:

Billings are down across the US. In fact, the survey notes that the value of design contracts has declined for an 18th consecutive month, marking the longest period of decline since the survey started 15 years ago. This is true across all regions, though the South has the best relative performance and the West has the worst. The commercial/industrial sector also appears to have the best relative performance, which, I'm only guessing, could be a result of things like data centers.

I don't have perfectly comparable data for Canada, but I know that architecture billings are way down in markets like Toronto and Vancouver. Architecture and development firms continue to lay off people, which is the strongest kind of indicator.

One of the things I always find interesting is how globally connected we all are. Real estate may be a local business, but it does depend on global capital flows and overall sentiment. The US market is soft. The Canadian market is soft — with some markets being largely shut off, to be more precise. And when I was in Paris last month, I heard a lot of the same from architects and developers (except from those able to subsist on government work).

Images: AIA / Detek ABI (August 2025)