
This recent NY Times article -- which makes the case that the current protests in Hong Kong are at least partially a result of inequality -- has a pair of interesting diagrams that speak to the city's tight housing market.

This recent NY Times article -- which makes the case that the current protests in Hong Kong are at least partially a result of inequality -- has a pair of interesting diagrams that speak to the city's tight housing market.

This recent NY Times article -- which makes the case that the current protests in Hong Kong are at least partially a result of inequality -- has a pair of interesting diagrams that speak to the city's tight housing market.
The first compares average living space per person in Hong Kong to Paris and New York City. New York City appears palatial compared to the illegally subdivided apartments that are discussed in the article.

The second looks at housing affordability as a multiple of median household income. Hong Kong is over 20x. I am curious what median incomes were used for each of the cities. A small denominator makes the multiples look worse.

In this chart, New York also includes the entire metropolitan area, which would help to improve its affordability ranking. So one could argue that this isn't really a fair comparison.
At the same time, none of this changes the fact that Hong Kong has some of, if not, the most expensive housing in the world.
Images: NY Times

Across the 50 largest metro areas in the US, about 31.9% of millennials -- those aged 18 to 34 -- owned a home as of 2017. And according to recent census data (via the Redfin), only 5 of these cities had a millennial homeownership rate higher than 35%. They are as follows:

The top spot goes to Salt Lake City, which sits at just over 40%. It also has the highest share of businesses owned by millennials at 8.4%. Not surprisingly, the cities on this list all have relatively affordable home prices, with Detroit being the most affordable.
I think you could interpret this list as a bit of a leading indicator for US cities on the rise. Affordability, and walkability, may be the draws today, but as millennials lay down roots, start businesses and earn more money, I am sure we'll see these cities transform even further.
This week's federal budget announced two measures that are intended to improve housing affordability.
The first is a modification to the Home Buyers' Plan. This is a plan that gives first-time home buyers the ability to do a tax-free withdrawal from their RRSP (it does, however, have to be repaid within 15 years). The withdrawal limit was increased from $25,000 to $35,000.
The second measure, which is the one that got everyone's attention, is the new First-Time Home Buyer Incentive. Through this program, CMHC will offer first-time home buyers (who have the minimum down payment required for an insured mortgage) the option of a "CMHC shared equity mortgage."
What this effectively means is that CMHC will give first-time buyers an interest-free contribution for 10% of the purchase price of a new home (5% in the case of a resale). There's no interest, but it does need to be paid back at the time of a sale. The higher percentage for new build homes is intended to stimulate housing supply.
It is still not clear whether CMHC will be expecting to participate in any increase (or decrease) in the value of the properties. But presumably, yes, since it's called a "shared equity mortgage." All of this is expected to come into force by the fall.
Here's an example of how this program is intended to work.
If a first-time buyer purchases a new home for $400,000 with a 5% down payment, the insured mortgage amount would normally be $380,000. This is the highest loan-to-value you can get with CMHC mortgage loan insurance. With this new measure, the mortgage size would reduce to $340,000 and so the purchaser's monthly debt service would drop accordingly, thereby helping with overall affordability.
The caveat to all of this is that this incentive will only be available to first-time home buyers with a household income under $120,000, and the insured mortgage and incentive amount cannot be greater than 4x the participants' annual household income.
What this means is that this program really only touches the sub $500,000 market. And in highly desirable cities like Toronto and Vancouver, that market isn't all that big.
The first compares average living space per person in Hong Kong to Paris and New York City. New York City appears palatial compared to the illegally subdivided apartments that are discussed in the article.

The second looks at housing affordability as a multiple of median household income. Hong Kong is over 20x. I am curious what median incomes were used for each of the cities. A small denominator makes the multiples look worse.

In this chart, New York also includes the entire metropolitan area, which would help to improve its affordability ranking. So one could argue that this isn't really a fair comparison.
At the same time, none of this changes the fact that Hong Kong has some of, if not, the most expensive housing in the world.
Images: NY Times

Across the 50 largest metro areas in the US, about 31.9% of millennials -- those aged 18 to 34 -- owned a home as of 2017. And according to recent census data (via the Redfin), only 5 of these cities had a millennial homeownership rate higher than 35%. They are as follows:

The top spot goes to Salt Lake City, which sits at just over 40%. It also has the highest share of businesses owned by millennials at 8.4%. Not surprisingly, the cities on this list all have relatively affordable home prices, with Detroit being the most affordable.
I think you could interpret this list as a bit of a leading indicator for US cities on the rise. Affordability, and walkability, may be the draws today, but as millennials lay down roots, start businesses and earn more money, I am sure we'll see these cities transform even further.
This week's federal budget announced two measures that are intended to improve housing affordability.
The first is a modification to the Home Buyers' Plan. This is a plan that gives first-time home buyers the ability to do a tax-free withdrawal from their RRSP (it does, however, have to be repaid within 15 years). The withdrawal limit was increased from $25,000 to $35,000.
The second measure, which is the one that got everyone's attention, is the new First-Time Home Buyer Incentive. Through this program, CMHC will offer first-time home buyers (who have the minimum down payment required for an insured mortgage) the option of a "CMHC shared equity mortgage."
What this effectively means is that CMHC will give first-time buyers an interest-free contribution for 10% of the purchase price of a new home (5% in the case of a resale). There's no interest, but it does need to be paid back at the time of a sale. The higher percentage for new build homes is intended to stimulate housing supply.
It is still not clear whether CMHC will be expecting to participate in any increase (or decrease) in the value of the properties. But presumably, yes, since it's called a "shared equity mortgage." All of this is expected to come into force by the fall.
Here's an example of how this program is intended to work.
If a first-time buyer purchases a new home for $400,000 with a 5% down payment, the insured mortgage amount would normally be $380,000. This is the highest loan-to-value you can get with CMHC mortgage loan insurance. With this new measure, the mortgage size would reduce to $340,000 and so the purchaser's monthly debt service would drop accordingly, thereby helping with overall affordability.
The caveat to all of this is that this incentive will only be available to first-time home buyers with a household income under $120,000, and the insured mortgage and incentive amount cannot be greater than 4x the participants' annual household income.
What this means is that this program really only touches the sub $500,000 market. And in highly desirable cities like Toronto and Vancouver, that market isn't all that big.
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