
Why rent control isn't "free"
New research shows restrictive reforms can result in a 10% reduction in rental supply
One of the basic principles behind rent control policies is that you're trying to make housing more affordable for some, while at the same time more expensive for others. Economics is the study of choice, and this is a choice, whether it gets talked about or not. Previously, we spoke about a memo from Howard Marks where he describes the impact of rent control in New York City. In economic terms, that impact looks like this:
Some people who couldn't afford to live in New York City if rents were set by the free market get the opportunity to live in the city (their housing is more affordable)
Other people who would like to live in New York City and could afford higher rents can't because there are no available apartments (rent controls reduce housing supply)
And lastly, landlords with unregulated apartments can command higher rents than would be the case if new housing supply were not being discouraged (their housing is more expensive)
Today, let's talk about a recent research paper (June 2025) published in the Journal of Housing Economics called, "Rent control and the supply of affordable housing." What the authors discovered was the following:
Restrictive rent control reforms are associated with a 10% reduction in the total number of rental units available in a city
Restrictive rent control reforms led to an increase in the availability of units affordable to extremely low-income households
This was offset by a decline in the availability of units to other income groups, particularly those at slightly higher affordability thresholds
Once again, we see the economic trade-offs inherent in supply-side interventions like rent control. It's better for some and worse for others. However, governments tend to favor it because it's "free" to them; the costs are borne by landlords and renters at higher affordability thresholds. I'll let all of you comment on whether you think this is good or bad, but regardless, I think it's crucial that we acknowledge the trade-offs being made.
The state of Utah is trying to build 35,000 starter homes over the next five years. Last year, $300 million was allocated to something known as the Utah Homes Investment Program (UHIP). The initial idea was that these funds would be provided as low-cost deposits to financial institutions so that they could, in turn, offer low-interest loans to homebuilders who committed to building single-family starter homes.
But this didn’t go as planned. Apparently, the low-cost deposits weren’t low enough to compensate for the perceived lending risk. So Governor Cox asked if the funds could instead be directed to the Utah Housing Corporation. Enter the Condominium Construction Loan Program. The way this newly created program works is that UHC can now provide low-cost loans — up to 100% LTC — directly to developers.
However, there are some stipulations:
Warrantable projects
