One of the things I often hear people say to me is that “you can never go wrong with real estate.” And indeed, if you’re talking about Toronto real estate over the past decade, then yes, it was fairly difficult to go wrong.

But that’s not a universal truth - either here or elsewhere. Real estate is very much an imperfect market and it has always been prone to protracted market cycles.

Furthermore, if you’re in the wrong city or part of town, there could be absolutely no market for your property. Take this example from Business Week:

Helene Pearson’s belief in homeownership was shattered in Roseland, the mostly black Chicago neighborhood where President Obama got his start as a community organizer. Pearson, who bought her two-bedroom, red-brick bungalow on South Calumet Avenue for $160,000 in 2006 with a high-interest loan, put it on the market a year ago for $55,000—and didn’t attract a single offer. Her bank has agreed to take it back in exchange for canceling her remaining mortgage debt. “I was so excited to buy my first house right down the street from my mother, but they got me good,” says Pearson, a 35-year-old guidance counselor and mother of two girls. “This scarred me so badly that I never want to buy again.”

Here you have a case where the value of the property (whatever it may be - clearly it’s not even $55,000) is below the replacement cost. That is, the value is well below what it would cost to actually go out and build a similar property. When you have a scenario like this, it intuitively translates into very little new investment.

And this is the case in many places, which is why when I hear somebody say “that you can never go wrong with real estate”, I secretly cringe inside.

One of the things I often hear people say to me is that “you can never go wrong with real estate.” And indeed, if you’re talking about Toronto real estate over the past decade, then yes, it was fairly difficult to go wrong.

But that’s not a universal truth - either here or elsewhere. Real estate is very much an imperfect market and it has always been prone to protracted market cycles.

Furthermore, if you’re in the wrong city or part of town, there could be absolutely no market for your property. Take this example from Business Week:

Helene Pearson’s belief in homeownership was shattered in Roseland, the mostly black Chicago neighborhood where President Obama got his start as a community organizer. Pearson, who bought her two-bedroom, red-brick bungalow on South Calumet Avenue for $160,000 in 2006 with a high-interest loan, put it on the market a year ago for $55,000—and didn’t attract a single offer. Her bank has agreed to take it back in exchange for canceling her remaining mortgage debt. “I was so excited to buy my first house right down the street from my mother, but they got me good,” says Pearson, a 35-year-old guidance counselor and mother of two girls. “This scarred me so badly that I never want to buy again.”

Here you have a case where the value of the property (whatever it may be - clearly it’s not even $55,000) is below the replacement cost. That is, the value is well below what it would cost to actually go out and build a similar property. When you have a scenario like this, it intuitively translates into very little new investment.

And this is the case in many places, which is why when I hear somebody say “that you can never go wrong with real estate”, I secretly cringe inside.