Daily insights for city builders, delivered every morning at 6 AM ET. I’m Brandon Donnelly — a Toronto-based real estate developer and founder of Globizen. I’ve been writing here since 2013.

Tag: startups

  • What a “buy now” button will mean for the new construction real estate industry

    Colored apartments by Pierre-Yves Babelon on 500px.com

    https://500px.com/embed.js

    Recently it has been in the news that BuzzBuzzHome.com – the new construction real estate site – will be launching a “buy now” feature in the new year (2016).

    This will allow people to buy condos and homes online with their credit card, which means that people will be able to pay the $5,000 deposit online and process all the paperwork that today happens within a sales office.

    This is huge.

    If you’re somebody who has used a computer and the internet before, the process today feels archaic. Typically you go online to register for a project and then somebody will call you to arrange an appointment. If you ask them to email you the price sheet and floor plans ahead of time, they’ll almost always tell you that they can’t do that and that you’ll need to come into the sales office for an appointment. 

    But what about if you end not liking the floor plans and you’re about to waste a few hours of your time? Too bad. The sales funnel requires you to be present in person. This is nothing against the many talented sales professionals working in new construction; it’s just that if I can design and price out a car online and if Mark Cuban can buy a $40 million jet online, then I should be able to shop for a new condo online.

    BuzzBuzzHome has been chipping away at the current model for years and they’ve managed to get a lot more information online than was previously available. When Matthew and Cliff first launched BuzzBuzzHome in the late 2000s it was almost unheard of for developers to put any sort of pricing and floor plans online. Now they at least have some of that on their site. I’m glad they stuck with it.

    Because what’s equally exciting about what BuzzBuzzHome is doing is that in order to offer a “buy now” feature, they also need to have an accurate account of all developer inventory on hand. And so alongside this “buy now” feature they’re also building out a full cloud-based inventory management system for developers. 

    This means that BuzzBuzzHome will soon be managing the supply-side of the new construction marketplace. Think of the data and analytics you can extract from a platform like this. It’s going to bring much greater transparency to this industry.

    But if your business is in any way connected to the new construction real estate market, I would take this morning and think about how the above innovations could impact your business model. I can think of a few winners and losers.

    Some of you might be thinking that people aren’t going to make the biggest purchase of their life online. But I would bet the farm that many people will. I know I would.

  • Real estate + tech

    If you’re interested in tech and tech products, you might be familiar with a platform called Product Hunt that helps you discover new products/startups on a daily basis. They launched back in 2013 and have since become an important part of the startup ecosystem.

    Here in Toronto, the Product Hunt community has been incredibly active with organizing regular meetups. Every 2 months they host an event, which includes a keynote speaker, 3 product demos from local startups, a panel discussion, and of course the usual drinks.

    The next Product Hunt Toronto event (#7) is scheduled for Thursday, November 26th at 6pm and the focus is on digital products serving the real estate industry. Back when I became obsessed with this space, this would have been considered pretty niche. But today there’s a tremendous amount of interest in the overlap between real estate and tech. And I’m thrilled to see that.

    If you’re also interested in this space, you should grab a ticket right now. They just went on sale yesterday, but usually sell out within a few days. At the time of writing this post, there are only 82 tickets left. I’m also going to be delivering the keynote talk. So I hope to see you there 🙂

  • Foursquare uses their global foot traffic data to accurately predict iPhone sales

    I am a fan and long time user of Foursquare – now known as both Foursquare and Swarm.

    Foursquare has struggled against competitors such as Yelp.com when it comes to local business recommendations. And I have less than 100 friends on my Swarm. It doesn’t seem to be that popular here in Toronto.

    But I’ve always loved the data collection aspect of Foursquare / Swarm. Even though most people don’t seem to care about that. When I check-in somewhere, such as the gym, it’ll tell me how many weeks in a row I’ve been there, whether it’s a new personal record, who else is nearby, and a host of other things.

    I’ve always felt like there was so much potential in all of the data it was collecting.

    Well the company is starting to make better use of that data. Recently they used their foot traffic data at Apple stores (I am assuming this goes beyond just check-in data) to predict the number of iPhones that Apple was going to sell globally following the launch of the 6s and 6s Plus.

    They predicted between 13 to 15 million handsets and it turns out they were right:

    This validates the accuracy of our prediction and while we’re proud of the result, we certainly aren’t surprised. Foursquare’s data is essentially the world’s biggest panel of foot traffic data — we have the best sense of the trends and patterns of the movement of people and their phones around the world.

    This is powerful stuff. If there were a way for me to be bullish on Foursquare beyond just writing this post, I would be.

  • Is venture-based real estate development coming to the Bay Area?

    Golden Gate Bridge by Mariusz Blach on 500px.com

    https://500px.com/embed.js

    Chamath
    Palihapitiya
    is a Sri Lanka born, Canada educated, venture capitalist in
    Silicon Valley, who made a boatload of money as one of the early employees of
    Facebook. He now runs a VC firm called Social +
    Capital
     and owns part of the Golden State Warriors.

    The other
    night he was interviewed at a StrictlyVC event in San Francisco and I think
    that many of his comments would also be of real interest to the Architect This City
    community. He’s super passionate in interviews and always fun to listen to.

    Below is what
    he had to say about the San Francisco startup scene. It really speaks volumes
    about what people will put up with in order to live in an awesome place/city that they love. All of his responses below are from this
    TechCrunch article
    .

    “The city has to be doing more, around
    transportation, around housing… You have to get rid of the nimbyism and you
    need to quadruple, if not quintuple, the amount of housing. You need to tell
    that engineer from the University of Michigan that he can live here on a salary
    of $80,000.

    [In the meantime], we look at our startups, and
    the minute that they start to spend more than 15 percent of their burn – good
    money that we give them – on rent, a huge red flag goes up. When they, on a
    per-head-count basis, are spending so much, we start looking at the
    productivity of the technical team. And if it’s good but not great and they’re
    spending this insane amount of money [versus] a different team in Redwood City,
    we start to ask ourselves: “Are you so convinced that success is going to
    happen in this city at 1.5x the cost?”

    Because for every dollar that someone in
    Mountain View or Redwood City is raising, you [in San Francisco] have to raise
    one-and-a-half to two times that just to get to the same point. So you’re cutting
    your half life in half. To prove that you can take an Uber from some fuckin’
    shitty bar to another shitty bar? Like, I don’t understand.”

    And here he
    talks about the possibility of his venture firm also getting into the real
    estate development business. I couldn’t resist blogging about this.

    “We made a big
    decision with our last fund to build an organization that looks really
    different than a venture firm, and that organization is going to be this
    hybrid, bastard stepchild of Berkshire Hathaway and Blackstone and BlackRock.

    What I mean by this is
    that we want to have a large permanent capital base and we want to make really
    long, discontinuous bets on companies and sectors and trends.

    And one of the things
    we talked about was having a real estate fund …[because] we owe it to our
    companies to alleviate some of these problems when no one else is going to. If
    we went and built one million square feet somewhere of mixed use, where you
    work and live, and we rethink what it means to have a modular living environment
    for a millennial cohort that wants to work at companies and doesn’t necessarily
    have kids, we can do that in a way and give that back to our CEOs as a benefit
    of working with us.

    And you can probably
    make the economics work. Because we only really care about the equity of the
    company anyways. And the equity in the real estate will take care of itself if
    you take the 30-year view. So we’re at the point now where we’re like, wow, we
    should raise a few billion dollars and get into the real estate business and
    solve this problem systematically for our companies. And maybe in that, it
    becomes a blueprint for how others should do it. We’re just basically going to
    act as our own city-state and decide how to do it ourselves.”

    It’s
    interesting to think about what the economics might look like if your primary goal is
    simply to provide space to your portfolio companies (entrepreneurs) so that
    they get more (financial) runway and, therefore, have a greater chance of success. I’d love to see that pro forma.

  • Peer-to-peer solar startup

    Airbnb is a platform that connects people who have extra space with people who need space. It’s a peer-to-peer hospitality company.

    Yeloha, which is a startup I just discovered today, is a peer-to-peer solar company based out of Boston. 

    In the same vein as Airbnb, it connect people who have extra roof space (that’s suitable for solar collection) with people who want to buy solar energy (but may not have a solar friendly roof).

    Here’s an image from their website that explains how it works:

    image

    Basically, if you have a solar friendly roof, Yeloha will come and install solar panels on top of your place for free. You get to keep some of the energy that’s generated (about 1/3 apparently) which becomes a credit to your electricity bill. You are then known as a “Sun Host.”

    The remaining energy gets fed back into the grid and, if you don’t have a solar friendly roof, you can purchase this excess energy, which also results in a credit to your electricity bill. The solar electricity is less expensive than the regular grid electricity. In this case, you are known as a “Sun Partner.”

    I think this is a pretty neat idea. Neither party has to pay anything upfront. Both parties save money. And the result is more solar through a distributed and virtual net metering setup.

  • The taxi cartel

    https://500px.com/embed.js

    Early this morning Peter Cheney of the Globe and Mail published an article called: How Uber is ending the dirty dealings behind Toronto’s cab business.

    And I highly recommend you read it. He’s been investigating this industry for decades.

    Though the article is specific to Toronto, I know that there are middle people and archaic policies governing the taxi industries in many other cities around the world.

    Here it revolves around taxi licenses issued by the city (known as “plates”), which are expensive and almost impossible to get. Last year the average price of a plate was $118,235 (2014).

    The way it works is that people – typically non-drivers – buy/inherit/get these plates and then charge rent on them to drivers who want to use them. The result is a taxi cartel:

    In fact, Toronto’s taxi plate system is anything but free enterprise. Instead, it is based on the artificial restriction of a natural market, and the granting of licences to a fixed number of participants. Even those who paid top dollar for a plate used to enjoy an annual return of more than 12 per cent. And for those who inherited plates, the return was manna from heaven.

    So it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the taxi industry is grouchy about companies like Uber. But the cost structure of the incumbents is going to need to change if they want to stay in business.

    Jeff Bezos of Amazon is famous for saying, “Your margin is my opportunity.” And that’s exactly what is happening here. A bloated legacy cost structure is being quickly supplanted by better/cheaper.

  • The evolving gig economy

    This morning venture capitalist Fred Wilson wrote a post on his blog talking about the gig economy and Hillary Clinton’s economic speech last night. 

    Here’s a snippet from Clinton’s talk:

    Meanwhile, many Americans are making extra money renting out a small room, designing websites, selling products they design themselves at home, or even driving their own car. This on-demand, or so-called gig economy is creating exciting economies and unleashing innovation.

    But it is also raising hard questions about work-place protections and what a good job will look like in the future.

    So, all of these trends are real and none, none is going away. But they do not determine our destiny. The choices we make as a nation matter. And the choices we make in the years ahead will set the stage for what American life in the middle class and our economy will be like in this century.

    The headlines this morning are making it seem like Hillary Clinton is taking direct aim at companies like Uber. But the transcript suggests that she’s being far more balanced than that: these new companies are creating exciting opportunities, and they are not going away, but there are still things to figure out.

    That’s basically how I feel.

    Take, for example, Airbnb. I think Airbnb is a great idea and company. A lot of my friends use it both as consumers and as suppliers of space.

    But for many (most?) condos in Toronto, owners are strictly prohibited from renting out their units on leases that are less than six months. It’s a direct ban on short-term leasing and it’s written into the Condo Corporation’s Declaration.

    And there’s good reason for that. Who wants to buy a condo only to find out that next door is being operated as a nightly hotel? Most people would even prefer that their neighbor is an owner rather than a renter.

    That doesn’t mean I believe Airbnb should not exist. I think we’ll likely end up getting more transparent about how buildings (and portion of buildings) are operating, as opposed to it being a shadow economy. And that could help.

    If you have any ideas for how companies like Airbnb might be better integrated into urban life, I would love to hear from you in the comment section below.

  • Are there enough nerds in Miami?

    image

    I was browsing through my online reading list this morning (as I do every morning), and I stumbled upon this Dezeen article talking about a big new 6.5 million square foot development being proposed in Miami’s Park West neighborhood. 

    The goal of the project is to transform Miami into “Florida’s Silicon Valley.”

    This sort of thing is happening all around the world. From Buffalo to Lisbon, cities everywhere are betting on tech, startups, and entrepreneurship to grow their economy in the 21st century. And I personally think that’s really exciting.

    But as I was reading the article, I couldn’t help but think of an old essay that Paul Graham wrote back in 2006 called, How to be Silicon Valley. (Paul Graham is a famous Silicon Valley entrepreneur/investor).

    In his essay Graham argues that to be or to replicate the model of Silicon Valley in your city, you basically need two types of people: rich people and nerds. The idea, of course, being that the nerds work on the cool new ideas and the rich people then fund them.

    Using this logic, he specifically calls out Miami as a city where few startups happen and as a city not likely to become another Silicon Valley. Though there’s lots of money and rich people in Miami, there simply aren’t enough nerds. In Graham’s words: “It’s not the kind of place nerds like.”

    But that was back in 2006. 

    The iPhone didn’t even exist yet. Things have since changed. Now there are successful tech companies like Snapchat (valuation north of $15 billion) that are based out of cities like Los Angeles. And I think you could argue that Los Angeles and Miami do share some similarities.

    So while it may have seemed far fetched in 2006 for Miami to become a startup hub, is that really the case today?

    Image: Dezeen

  • Lisbon is the new Berlin

    Photograph Tramway à Lisbonne by yannick le goff on 500px

    Tramway à Lisbonne by yannick le goff on 500px

    This morning I stumbled upon a blog post by a Berlin-based venture capitalist (Ciarán O’Leary) talking about how Lisbon feels like the next Berlin. In other words, it feels like the next great European startup hub.

    Here’s his reasoning:

    • The tech scene is organic – it happened on its own, came out of nowhere. That is much more fun and sustainable than any kind of political or targeted economic strategy.
    • There are a ton of constraints (funding, local talent base, etc.) so entrepreneurs need to hustle to make things happen. Hustle is good.
    • Berlin was an economic void, Portugal had a massive economic crisis and Lisbon sure isn’t letting that crisis go to waste.
    • Entrepreneurship has the real chance to be a center stage act, not a side gig. It’s everywhere.
    • The city is very, very cool. You just want to be here.
    • You can have a great life on a startup salary.
    • Everyone speaks english; everyone is welcoming and open. That matters a lot when you want to attract international talent and funding.

    Of course, he’s not the only one calling Lisbon the next Berlin. The EU also named Lisbon “the most entrepreneurial region in Europe in 2015.” Isn’t it interesting what can grow out of economic crisis? See PIGS.

    I also don’t think it’s a coincidence that Monocle held its first ever Quality of Life Conference in Lisbon. It’s a testament to O’Leary’s point above that, “You just want to be here.”

    And while being “very, very cool” may not seem immediately relevant to creating a robust startup environment, it really is. It may be the most important point. It makes the city a magnet for talent. 

    Just the other day I was trying to explain Berlin to someone and I used a similar lexicon. I said: “It’s an unbelievably cool city. It bleeds hipness. You will love it.”

    If you’re a city, that’s a great thing to be.

  • The 5 objectives of Rejection Therapy

    In the business world – particularly in the startup world these days – there’s a lot of emphasis on the importance of failure. The mantra is: “fail early and fail often.” Because if you’re not failing, then you’re likely not pushing yourself hard enough and getting out of your comfort zone. 

    Some people think we’ve gone too far in our celebration of failure, but I think there’s a lot of value in not being afraid of making mistakes. I try and adopt the same mentality when I snowboard. If I’m not physically falling, then I’m likely not trying things I’ve never done before. (I may have taken that philosophy too far this winter.)

    Here’s a video from Gary Vaynerchuk’s #AskGaryVee show where Jack and Suzy Welch are guests and the first question has to do with this exact topic: the importance of failure.

    Given all of this, I was fascinated to learn about something new this week called Rejection Therapy. I was out for beers with some good friends of mine earlier in the week and one of them – who is an educator here in the city – started telling me the story of Jason Comely.

    Jason was a freelance IT guy from Cambridge, Ontario. His wife had recently left him for someone “better” and he went into a deep slump. Eventually, he realized that he had become terrified of rejection. His wife had rejected him and he never wanted that to ever happen again.

    Initially he withdrew from life. 

    But eventually he decided that he was going to experiment with the exact opposite approach. He decided that he was going to force himself to get rejected by someone every, single, day.

    It didn’t matter how it happened, but he had to get rejected. He would walk up to strangers and ask for a ride home. He would ask for a discount before buying something. The list goes on. 

    Eventually he thought it would be a good idea to start documenting all of his rejections: this is what I did today and this how I got rejected. It became a game for him. When he would get his rejection for the day, he would celebrate it. Then he thought to himself: why not turn this into an actual game that other people could purchase? And that’s what he did.

    He calls it Rejection Therapy and here are the five objectives that he lays out:

    1. To be more aware of how irrational social fears control and restrict our lives
    2. Smash the tyranny of fear and reap the treasures (treasures include wealth, relationships and self-confidence)
    3. Learn from, and even enjoy rejection
    4. To not be attached to outcomes, especially when it involves the free agency of other people
    5. Permit yourself to fail

    Playing Rejection Therapy may not be for everyone. But I think the lessons are universally applicable. There’s value in trying. There’s value in asking. There’s value in making mistakes. And there’s value in not being afraid of someone saying no.