We have spoken recently about the reset taking place in the development industry right now. It is difficult to underwrite new projects.

But even before this current environment, it was challenging to make new rental housing pencil. Condominium projects almost always look more attractive (at least here in Toronto) and generally speaking, the spectrum for rental housing feasibility goes from "no, this doesn't work" to "yeah, maybe this will work if we trend rents over a long enough time horizon."

The problem with this is that we know more rental housing would be a positive thing for our cities. So how do we address this? Here are some common solutions that get thrown around:

• Make condominium projects less attractive to build. If fewer developers want to build condominiums and if fewer investors want to buy them, then maybe new purpose-built rentals will become more enticing to build. On some level, this makes sense. It should create downward pressure on land values. But this doesn't help rental housing supply if it isn't feasible to begin with. And why limit overall housing supply? (Related post, here.)

• Make rental housing projects less attractive to build. I know this sounds counterintuitive when I say it this way, but we do do this. Rent controls, to give just one example, generally make it harder to build new rental housing. Yes, it can help those who are already housed, but it can disincentivize proper building maintenance, it can lead to more people being over-housed, and it absolutely hurts new supply. So there are trade-offs.

• Make rental housing projects more attractive to build.

I find this last one intriguing, and so here's one specific idea that I have raised before. Though this time, I'm quoting Benjamin Tal of CIBC:

But, by far, the most pragmatic step to take in the immediate future would be to waive or defer HST payments on purpose-built rental projects from first occupancy to the sale of the building, while keeping the same valuation methodology as the current regime.

It’s the most realistic option since it’s relatively easy to implement, and Ottawa will have a willing partner in the Ontario government. Buried in page 84 of the recent Ontario budget was the following sentence, “we call on the federal government to come to the table on potential Goods and Services Tax/Harmonized Sales Tax (GST/HST) relief, including rebates, exemptions, zero-rating or deferrals”.

Such a move alone would shave close to $60K from the unit cost of that 400-unit project in Toronto, resulting in a meaningful reduction in rent, while at the same time unlocking tens of thousands of rental units across the country in short order — clearly a step in the right direction.

We should do this.

P.S. Sam, thanks for sharing Tal's article with me.

This is a lovely little infill rental project in Tokyo by ETHNOS (architect) for Real Partners (developer):

The building is 4 storeys plus a rooftop terrace. From the plans, it looks like there are 8 units, all of which are two-storey suites.

The A and B suites are accessible from the ground floor. For the A suites, you enter at grade, and then go down into the first basement level. And for the B suites, you enter at grade and then go up to your second level. One of the entrances (suite B-3) is via an exterior walkway.

The middle of the ground floor is the lobby entrance and there's a single elevator that services the second and third floors (it then drops off for the fourth floor). On the second level is a co-working space, and so the upper C suites (these sound fancy) are all accessible from the third floor.

The fourth floor and fifth floor terraces are all accessible from within the C suites, which means that the only real common area corridors in this building are on the third level. And it looks like they wanted this particular corridor to have a view to the street, because they could have easily reduced it even further to increase the building's overall efficiency.

What is also interesting to look at this building's dimensions. Based on the above section, the floor-to-floor heights are 2500mm, which is low compared to the 2950/3000mm that is typically used here in Toronto for new reinforced concrete builds.

In terms of the overall building, it is only about 10m deep and it is less than 10m tall if you exclude the stair popups on the rooftop terraces. For context here, our Junction House lot is about 30m deep and the build is about 30m tall, so actually a similar kind of box proportion.

But let's scan more of Toronto.

If you move away from designated "Avenues" (which is where Junction House sits) and look at some of our other major streets (which is something the City of Toronto is in fact doing), you can sometimes/oftentimes find even deeper lots.

Below is a random area that I quickly panned too on Dufferin Street -- these single-family house lots are around 36m deep:

Now obviously Toronto is not Tokyo and Tokyo is not Toronto. But my point with all of this was to demonstrate just how much space we actually have within our existing boundaries, should we ever feel the need to increase our overall housing supply.

As I have argued many times before, I think one of the greatest opportunities to quickly do this sits along our majors streets.

Architectural drawings: ETHNOS

We have spoken recently about the reset taking place in the development industry right now. It is difficult to underwrite new projects.

But even before this current environment, it was challenging to make new rental housing pencil. Condominium projects almost always look more attractive (at least here in Toronto) and generally speaking, the spectrum for rental housing feasibility goes from "no, this doesn't work" to "yeah, maybe this will work if we trend rents over a long enough time horizon."

The problem with this is that we know more rental housing would be a positive thing for our cities. So how do we address this? Here are some common solutions that get thrown around:

• Make condominium projects less attractive to build. If fewer developers want to build condominiums and if fewer investors want to buy them, then maybe new purpose-built rentals will become more enticing to build. On some level, this makes sense. It should create downward pressure on land values. But this doesn't help rental housing supply if it isn't feasible to begin with. And why limit overall housing supply? (Related post, here.)

• Make rental housing projects less attractive to build. I know this sounds counterintuitive when I say it this way, but we do do this. Rent controls, to give just one example, generally make it harder to build new rental housing. Yes, it can help those who are already housed, but it can disincentivize proper building maintenance, it can lead to more people being over-housed, and it absolutely hurts new supply. So there are trade-offs.

• Make rental housing projects more attractive to build.

I find this last one intriguing, and so here's one specific idea that I have raised before. Though this time, I'm quoting Benjamin Tal of CIBC:

But, by far, the most pragmatic step to take in the immediate future would be to waive or defer HST payments on purpose-built rental projects from first occupancy to the sale of the building, while keeping the same valuation methodology as the current regime.

It’s the most realistic option since it’s relatively easy to implement, and Ottawa will have a willing partner in the Ontario government. Buried in page 84 of the recent Ontario budget was the following sentence, “we call on the federal government to come to the table on potential Goods and Services Tax/Harmonized Sales Tax (GST/HST) relief, including rebates, exemptions, zero-rating or deferrals”.

Such a move alone would shave close to $60K from the unit cost of that 400-unit project in Toronto, resulting in a meaningful reduction in rent, while at the same time unlocking tens of thousands of rental units across the country in short order — clearly a step in the right direction.

We should do this.

P.S. Sam, thanks for sharing Tal's article with me.

This is a lovely little infill rental project in Tokyo by ETHNOS (architect) for Real Partners (developer):

The building is 4 storeys plus a rooftop terrace. From the plans, it looks like there are 8 units, all of which are two-storey suites.

The A and B suites are accessible from the ground floor. For the A suites, you enter at grade, and then go down into the first basement level. And for the B suites, you enter at grade and then go up to your second level. One of the entrances (suite B-3) is via an exterior walkway.

The middle of the ground floor is the lobby entrance and there's a single elevator that services the second and third floors (it then drops off for the fourth floor). On the second level is a co-working space, and so the upper C suites (these sound fancy) are all accessible from the third floor.

The fourth floor and fifth floor terraces are all accessible from within the C suites, which means that the only real common area corridors in this building are on the third level. And it looks like they wanted this particular corridor to have a view to the street, because they could have easily reduced it even further to increase the building's overall efficiency.

What is also interesting to look at this building's dimensions. Based on the above section, the floor-to-floor heights are 2500mm, which is low compared to the 2950/3000mm that is typically used here in Toronto for new reinforced concrete builds.

In terms of the overall building, it is only about 10m deep and it is less than 10m tall if you exclude the stair popups on the rooftop terraces. For context here, our Junction House lot is about 30m deep and the build is about 30m tall, so actually a similar kind of box proportion.

But let's scan more of Toronto.

If you move away from designated "Avenues" (which is where Junction House sits) and look at some of our other major streets (which is something the City of Toronto is in fact doing), you can sometimes/oftentimes find even deeper lots.

Below is a random area that I quickly panned too on Dufferin Street -- these single-family house lots are around 36m deep:

Now obviously Toronto is not Tokyo and Tokyo is not Toronto. But my point with all of this was to demonstrate just how much space we actually have within our existing boundaries, should we ever feel the need to increase our overall housing supply.

As I have argued many times before, I think one of the greatest opportunities to quickly do this sits along our majors streets.

Architectural drawings: ETHNOS