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July 21, 2019

The Information Age: Tech & the S&P 500

The below chart from this morning's Wall Street Journal is perhaps a good example of our ongoing transformation from an industrial economy to an information economy. Just four stocks -- namely Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Facebook -- have accounted for 19% of the S&P 500's total return this year. All of them are "tech."

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And this is not new to 2019. Similar contributions were made by tech last year and in 2018. I have been used to hearing about the 4 horsemen of tech. But apparently there's even now something called the "FAANG stocks," which refers to Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google (Alphabet).

This shift is, of course, one of the reasons why every city is trying to establish a strong tech ecosystem. I saw that first-hand in Lisbon this past week. And frankly I think the city has many of the same characteristics that made Berlin a great place for tech. It's affordable. It's filled with young and smart people. And it's a fun place to be.

There's a reason that Lisbon now hosts the annual Web Summit, which is generally considered to be the largest tech conference in the world. (The North American offshoot, called Collision, relocated to Toronto this year in order to be in a more global city.)

Portugal only has a population of about 10 million people. There are some 3 million people in the metropolitan area of Lisbon. But that doesn't really matter because most startups today are immediately targeting a global customer base.

I learned more about Portugal and Spain's colonial pasts on this trip and I found it fascinating. In many ways, it was the start of globalization. But that was the Age of Discovery. Those centuries are over and done with. Our century is the Information Age. The above chart is part of that story.

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July 17, 2019

Lisbon’s kiosks anchor public life

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One of my favorite things about Lisbon is the way in which life seems to happen publicly right on the street and in public squares. Its kiosks (or quiosque), like the one you see pictured above, play a major role in that. They are tiny; usually only run by one person. But they embody old world charm; usually with a dark green finish and some wrought iron flourishes. Supposedly these street anchors fell away during Portugal's authoritarian period (Estado Novo), as there was concern that this sort of urban fraternizing might lead to new, potentially radical, ideas. (That's usually a feature of cities.) Thankfully, Lisbon's kiosks have returned and they're as charming as ever. I like to think that city builders can workaround any type of climate. But the weather here certainly helps this public life. Lisbon is one of the sunniest cities in Europe.

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July 16, 2019

My first dockless scooter ride

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I now know what all the fuss is about. Yesterday I rode a dockless (Lime) scooter for the first time. I took in lieu of an Uber in order to get to the Museum of Art, Architecture, and Technology (MAAT) on Lisbon's waterfront. Here's another photo from my ride:

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We don't have these scooters in Toronto, but I understand they are imminent. And now that I've used one -- and learned how shockingly fun they are -- I can see why they are proliferating across so many cities. They're a solution to the last mile problem, but they're also fast enough (20 km/h) that they can be a substitute for other forms of urban mobility, as was the case for me yesterday. I can also see myself using one to get to the office when I would rather not sweat through my suit. Of course, there is the much talked about problem of scooters as urban litter. It's a real thing and I am seeing that firsthand here in Lisbon. Because they are dockless, people leave them anywhere and everywhere. At the same time, part of what makes them so convenient is that, well, you can leave them anywhere and everywhere.

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I'm confident there's a tidier solution that doesn't involve fixed docking stations. Geofencing, perhaps? Cars are "dockless" and we've sort of figured that out. Many cities are already working on and experimenting with different solutions. Here's an example from Tel Aviv. I have also noticed a natural clustering effect. I'm not sure how good of a business they will prove to be. The barriers to entry seem fairly low right now. You just need some Chinese scooters and an app, which is why I am noticing so many competing companies. But as the market matures, increased regulation could change this. We are going through a period of growing pains and it's not particularly elegant. However, I believe we'll get there. So I am looking forward to riding these scooters when they do finally land in Toronto.

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Brandon Donnelly

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Brandon Donnelly

Daily insights for city builders. Published since 2013 by Toronto-based real estate developer Brandon Donnelly.

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