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Brandon Donnelly

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January 17, 2016

Share your big idea for Canada’s #Capital2067

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On Thursday night I spoke at an Urbanism Lab event in Ottawa put on by the National Capital Commission.

The event was all about the interconnection between the online world of blogging and social media, and the offline world of tangible city building.

More specifically, one of the goals was to help inspire institutions, such as the National Capital Commission, to better leverage these new channels in order to get their message out.

Social media and blogging may be ubiquitous, but lots of organizations are still getting their heads around it.

So today I thought I would do my part and share something with all of you that, truthfully, I didn’t know was underway until I visited Ottawa.

But first, how many of you (Canadians) are exactly aware of what the National Capital Commission does?

The NCC is a federal Crown corporation that is focused on 3 specific mandates:

  1. They are the long-term urban planner of federal lands in Canada’s Capital Region. They are also the largest landowner in the region.

  2. They are the principal steward of nationally significant public spaces and buildings, including the Capital’s six “official residences.” Residences such as 24 Sussex Drive.

  3. And they are a “creative partner” on initiatives that tie into both development and conservation.

To this end, the NCC is now working on a Plan for Canada’s Capital, 2017-2067. This is a 50-year plan that will outline what they do with federal lands, buildings, parks and other symbolic spaces in the Capital. And it will identity which projects would best craft and represent our national identity, as well as strengthen Canada’s influence in the world.

This is all pretty important and interesting stuff. But unfortunately I didn’t know it was underway. And I also didn’t know what they were looking for “big ideas” from Canadians. These are ideas that will directly shape the 50-year plan.

So if you have an idea – big or small – for the National Capital Commission, I would encourage you to click here and share it with them. Not only is this city building in the Capital, it’s also nation building.

Please also feel free to copy and paste your idea(s) in the comment section of this post. These ideas definitely deserve a fulsome discussion. I will post mine once I write it.

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January 14, 2016

Additional thoughts on land prices

Daniel Hertz over at City Observatory just published a post talking about why land costs are so important when it comes to home prices. More specifically though, his post is intended to refute a claim that multifamily housing is always going to be more expensive than single family housing.

The key concept here – which is critical to understanding urban real estate economics – is that home values are essentially made up of two things: the land and the improvements (i.e. the building). 

When home prices rapidly appreciate, as has been the case in cities like Vancouver (see below) and Toronto, it’s not the building, but the land that’s really driving the price up. 

And as you can see from the chart below (which Daniel shared in his post), it is possible for multifamily housing to be less expensive than single family housing. 

image

So why was someone arguing that multifamily housing is more expensive?

Well if you look at just construction costs, then this is generally true. Single family housing is typically wood frame construction, whereas multifamily housing is usually reinforced concrete or some other material that allows you to build up. In these latter cases, the price per square foot to build is going to be higher.

But Daniel’s argument is that when you build multifamily housing, you also begin to amortize the cost of the land over more housing units. So you begin to use land more efficiently and that offsets the higher construction costs.

However, two thoughts come to mind.

First, the value of a piece of land is entirely dependent on what you can build on it. And the more you can build on it, the more the land is worth. So as densities increase, so do land prices.

Second, a big part of why condominiums are so much more affordable is that they’re smaller. In 2014, the average condo size in Metro Vancouver was estimated to be 840 square feet. I couldn’t find the average size of a detached house in the city, but let’s assume for a second that it’s 2,500 sf. 

If that were the case, then a detached house, despite being more expensive overall, would still be cheaper on a per square foot basis. You would be paying less for every square foot of livable space. True that doesn’t make the house more affordable, but I think it’s a bit unfair to compare apples (small condo) to oranges (large house).

So what I would really like to see is a graph of all-in low-rise and high-rise per square foot prices over time and for various cities. Because I would be curious to see at what point – if ever – they intersect.

January 11, 2016

Urbanism Online: #capital

For those of you from Ottawa, I’m going to be in town this Thursday evening talking at an event put on by the National Capital Commission called Urbanism Online. It’s all about how blogging, social media, and online discussions can and are contributing to the betterment of cities.

The other bloggers include:

- Marc-André Carignan, Montreal, Kollectif.net

- Jillian Glover, Vancouver, This City Life

- Robert Smythe, Ottawa, UrbSite

The event is now full, but email them or tweet me if you’d really like to come and I’ll certainly ask about space availability. I’m sure it’s going to be a great discussion.

I have a bit of a soft spot for Ottawa. I used to spend a lot of time there when I was working on an office building at 150 Elgin Street. (Key tenants include The Canada Council for the Arts, KPMG, and Shopify.)

I haven’t been back since the building was completed, so I’m excited to see how it turned out.

Update: The event will also be streamed on Periscope, here.

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Brandon Donnelly

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Brandon Donnelly

Daily insights for city builders. Published since 2013 by Toronto-based real estate developer Brandon Donnelly.

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