The International Energy Agency (IEA) has just published a comprehensive report on the nexus between AI and energy consumption. I would encourage you all to give it a read, or, you know, use AI to summarize it for you. It represents our reality today.
The largest tech companies in the world spent over US$400 billion on data centres in 2025, and this number is expected to jump by 75% in 2026! The total capital expenditure of just five tech companies is right now larger than the entire global investment in oil and natural gas production.
This is the new fuel for the world economy, and we're going to need to figure out how to supply enough energy.
According to the report, an individual server rack within an advanced data centre might only be the size of a refrigerator. But by 2027, it is not inconceivable that it could have a peak power demand equivalent to that of 65 households.
The good news is that much of this demand is being met by renewables. Renewables are the fastest-growing source of electricity for data centres. The report estimates total generating capacity increasing at an average of 22% per year between 2024 and 2030, which will meet nearly 50% of the growth in data centre demand.
If you'd like to download a copy of the full report, go here.
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Back in 2011, Marc Andreessen wrote a widely cited blog post where he argued that "software is eating the world." In some ways, it feels like just yesterday that I first read it. But it has been 15 years, and boy, has the world changed. Now, the worry is that AI is eating software.
It has become significantly easier to write code, to the point that in the span of only two years, Google has gone from 0% of its new code being written by AI to now over 75% of it! But it's not just big companies. I know lots of non-technical people who wanted software that could do "X," and so they just vibe coded a solution. Done.
In fact, I've been experimenting and doing the same for several months now. It has become so easy that I feel an obligation to do it. But as we know, if everyone can do it, then it means there is no longer any value. The value will necessarily need to be created in other ways.
Earlier this week, we spoke about Uber and how being asset light — previously a hallmark of the gig economy — is potentially now a liability. Well, this is a broader theme. Josh Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, even coined a term for this: HALO. This stands for Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence.
The general idea is that you now want physical stuff with a big moat that is immune to being disrupted by someone in their parents' basement using Claude Code. Hard assets are, arguably, where you want to be today. I guess that means real estate is back, baby!
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I recently joked that, because of AI, everyone now sends you a 50-page PDF for review. Of course, what we all do next is just ask AI to summarize it and help prepare a response. So, the net effect is AI talking to AI.
We're all becoming a kind of intermediary because the volume of information is simply too great for any human to reasonably process. In many ways, this can feel overwhelming. It also makes me feel like it's becoming harder to maintain a long attention span.
But this appears to be where the world is heading. Eventually, we are going to have what is known as Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), and that is going to have a profound impact on our lives.
Venture capitalist Albert Wenger has been spending a lot of time thinking about what an AGI-level economy might look like, and he recently published a post where he modeled some of the possible scenarios.
I will give you the spoiler here: His intuition is that we're going to need to create an economy that combines competition and redistribution (also referred to as a Negative Income Tax, which provides people with a basic income).
Because without competition, productivity gains will be captured as rent, rather than resulting in lower prices. And without redistribution, we are likely to see an untenable increase in inequality.
If you're interested in this topic, I would encourage you to check out his post.
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