
Canada must become a global superpower
The silver lining to the US starting a trade war with Canada and regularly threatening annexation is that it has forced this country out of complacency. Indeed, I'm hard pressed to remember a time, at least in my lifetime, when patriotism and nationalism has united so much of Canada. According to a recent survey by Angus Reid, the percentage of Canadians expressing a "deep emotional attachment" to the country jumped from 49% in December 2024 to 59% in February 2025. And as further evidence of...

The bank robbery capital of the world
Between 1985 and 1995, Los Angeles' retail bank branches were robbed some 17,106 times. In 1992, which was the the city's worst year for robberies, the number was 2,641. This roughly translated into about one bank robbery every 45 minutes of each banking day. All of this, according to this CrimeReads piece by Peter Houlahan, gave Los Angeles the dubious title of "The Bank Robbery Capital of the World" during this time period. So what caused this? Well according to Peter it was facil...
The story behind those pixelated video game mosaics in Paris
If you've ever been to Paris, you've probably noticed the small pixelated art pieces that are scattered all around the city on buildings and various other hard surfaces. Or maybe you haven't seen or noticed them in Paris, but you've seen similarly pixelated mosaics in one of the other 79 cities around the world where they can be found. Or maybe you have no idea what I'm talking about right now. Huh? Here's an example from Bolivia (click here if you can't see...

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Daily insights for city builders. Published since 2013 by Toronto-based real estate developer Brandon Donnelly.

Canada must become a global superpower
The silver lining to the US starting a trade war with Canada and regularly threatening annexation is that it has forced this country out of complacency. Indeed, I'm hard pressed to remember a time, at least in my lifetime, when patriotism and nationalism has united so much of Canada. According to a recent survey by Angus Reid, the percentage of Canadians expressing a "deep emotional attachment" to the country jumped from 49% in December 2024 to 59% in February 2025. And as further evidence of...

The bank robbery capital of the world
Between 1985 and 1995, Los Angeles' retail bank branches were robbed some 17,106 times. In 1992, which was the the city's worst year for robberies, the number was 2,641. This roughly translated into about one bank robbery every 45 minutes of each banking day. All of this, according to this CrimeReads piece by Peter Houlahan, gave Los Angeles the dubious title of "The Bank Robbery Capital of the World" during this time period. So what caused this? Well according to Peter it was facil...
The story behind those pixelated video game mosaics in Paris
If you've ever been to Paris, you've probably noticed the small pixelated art pieces that are scattered all around the city on buildings and various other hard surfaces. Or maybe you haven't seen or noticed them in Paris, but you've seen similarly pixelated mosaics in one of the other 79 cities around the world where they can be found. Or maybe you have no idea what I'm talking about right now. Huh? Here's an example from Bolivia (click here if you can't see...
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>4.2K subscribers
After seeing this beautiful 6-storey and 21-unit social housing project in Lyon, I decided to retweet it and share the fact that we recently had a site under contract in Toronto with the intention of doing a very similar build. We wouldn't have been able to do the same outdoor spaces at the corner, but it was going to be 6 storeys and without any setbacks. The overall dimensions appear to be similar.
However, in the end, we had to drop the site because the margins were simply too thin. I was disappointed. Of course, some people responded to my quote retweet by calling this an example of developer greed. But once again, I don't think most people understand how development economics work. If the margins are too thin it, among other things, means:
It's going to be hard/impossible to raise capital and finance the project
You might be better off buying a "risk-free" government bond instead
That unexpected situations could sink the project (i.e. you lose money)
To give a specific example, let's assume that your expected base case rent at the time of occupancy is $4.75 psf. This would mean that if your average suite size is around 600 sf (which ours was), you would need a face rent of about $2,850 per month.
But what happens if you're off by only $0.25 and your face rent for this same 600 sf apartment is now $2,700 per month at initial lease up? $150 per month may not seem like a big deal, but it is. If you capitalize this income at something like a 4% rate, you will find that it becomes material.
This is what I mean by "the margins are too thin." And it's similar to any other professional not wanting to take on a job because they might lose money or because it's "not worth their time." It's about managing risk and understanding the opportunity cost of taking on such a project.
After seeing this beautiful 6-storey and 21-unit social housing project in Lyon, I decided to retweet it and share the fact that we recently had a site under contract in Toronto with the intention of doing a very similar build. We wouldn't have been able to do the same outdoor spaces at the corner, but it was going to be 6 storeys and without any setbacks. The overall dimensions appear to be similar.
However, in the end, we had to drop the site because the margins were simply too thin. I was disappointed. Of course, some people responded to my quote retweet by calling this an example of developer greed. But once again, I don't think most people understand how development economics work. If the margins are too thin it, among other things, means:
It's going to be hard/impossible to raise capital and finance the project
You might be better off buying a "risk-free" government bond instead
That unexpected situations could sink the project (i.e. you lose money)
To give a specific example, let's assume that your expected base case rent at the time of occupancy is $4.75 psf. This would mean that if your average suite size is around 600 sf (which ours was), you would need a face rent of about $2,850 per month.
But what happens if you're off by only $0.25 and your face rent for this same 600 sf apartment is now $2,700 per month at initial lease up? $150 per month may not seem like a big deal, but it is. If you capitalize this income at something like a 4% rate, you will find that it becomes material.
This is what I mean by "the margins are too thin." And it's similar to any other professional not wanting to take on a job because they might lose money or because it's "not worth their time." It's about managing risk and understanding the opportunity cost of taking on such a project.
Share Dialog
Share Dialog
The Lyon project has a single stair and elevator. Is it fair to say that if the OBC allowed a single exit stair, projects like this would become viable?
Who are these people complaining about “developer greed”? Short answer: people who have assiduously avoided risk all their lives. I met one in a dream/nightmare last night. This dream was set in a theatre (people who know me know that I hate being hectored by theatre types). My wife and I are in the audience, seated close to the stage. Within three minutes of the play starting, one of the actors freezes up and everybody walks off stage. A voice tells us that “the play will resume momentarily. It doesn’t. I get restless. Speaking with my wife, we analyze the situation. Sitting next to me is a guy who listens in on our conversation. He is a toxic amalgam of two former employees: Mr. Low Energy and Mr. Acerbic Sarcasm. After a little while, the guy next to me addresses me and says: “I have a policy of never saying things to people that I wouldn’t say to their face. You should try it”. I respond with: “So, you’d rather stay quiet and put up with mediocrity?”. He says: “I have done well by my creed”. Could this be your “developer greed” critic, a person who avoids risk is also a person who is allergic to challenges and potential confrontations?
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The Lyon project has a single stair and elevator. Is it fair to say that if the OBC allowed a single exit stair, projects like this would become viable?
Who are these people complaining about “developer greed”? Short answer: people who have assiduously avoided risk all their lives. I met one in a dream/nightmare last night. This dream was set in a theatre (people who know me know that I hate being hectored by theatre types). My wife and I are in the audience, seated close to the stage. Within three minutes of the play starting, one of the actors freezes up and everybody walks off stage. A voice tells us that “the play will resume momentarily. It doesn’t. I get restless. Speaking with my wife, we analyze the situation. Sitting next to me is a guy who listens in on our conversation. He is a toxic amalgam of two former employees: Mr. Low Energy and Mr. Acerbic Sarcasm. After a little while, the guy next to me addresses me and says: “I have a policy of never saying things to people that I wouldn’t say to their face. You should try it”. I respond with: “So, you’d rather stay quiet and put up with mediocrity?”. He says: “I have done well by my creed”. Could this be your “developer greed” critic, a person who avoids risk is also a person who is allergic to challenges and potential confrontations?