Tag: rental report

• Toward more rental housing

  The Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area is expected to see 6,821 new rental homes completed this year. This is a “multi-decade high”, according to Urbanation’s latest rental report. Indeed, you need to go back to the 1970s to get rental supply figures of this magnitude.

  A big part of this has to do with the fact that we are now taxing rental housing less. Toward the end of last year, the federal government removed their portion of the HST on new rental housing and, then in November, the province of Ontario followed with theirs.

  This was “a big first step” for the industry, according to leading apartment developers like Fitzrovia.

  But there’s another reason that many developers are now looking to purpose-built rentals: fewer people are buying new condominiums. And if you can’t presell condos, well then you’re going to need to find another path forward for your land.

  However, flipping over to rental is not necessarily a panacea. The margins are generally razor thin (+/- 50 bps). It requires more and different capital (typically). And you need to believe in some fairly non-consensus assumptions (high rent growth, low cap rates, etc.).

  It’ll be interesting to see how many developers are able to successfully flip over to rental and how sustained this rental supply number will be.

  2024.04.30

• Miami rents increased 55.3% on a year-over-year basis

  All of the talk of people moving to Miami over the last two years is certainly coming through in the numbers. According to this recent rental report by Realtor.com, residential rents in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metro area increased 55.3% on a year-over-year basis (as of February 2022). And the next 2 metro areas on the list are also in Florida. This is compared to a 17.1% increase for national rents, which is quite a bit lower, but still a massive increase. These are clearly unsustainable numbers and eventually things will settle down. How exactly things settle down is yet to be determined. But for right now, the above figure feels to me like a pretty good answer to the following question: If you had the flexibility to work from anywhere, where would you go? Somewhere sunny, I guess.

  2022.03.30

• Condo rents in Toronto are up 11.4% quarter-over-quarter

  Urbanation released its Q3-2021 rental report for the Greater Toronto Area at the beginning of this week. The vacancy rate in purpose-built rental buildings fell to 3.0%. This is down from 5.1% in Q2-2021 and 6.4% in Q1-2021. For the former City of Toronto (the city pre-amalgamation), vacancy rates declined to 3.8% in Q3-2021, down from 9% in Q1-2021. So people are renting apartments.

  At the same time, rents are growing. The average rent for newer purpose-built rentals was $2,389 per month or $3.30 per square foot at the end of last quarter. This is up 3.8% from Q2. But what is also interesting to see is how quickly the core / downtown is snapping back. Looking at condominium rentals, the former City of Toronto had the lowest leases-to-listings ratio at the start of the pandemic in Q2-2020. But in Q3 of this year, its ratio was the highest. See below.

  

  

  Average rents have also spiked for condo rentals in the core, posting an 11.4% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 6.2% year-over-year increase. The average rent is now sitting at $2,405 per month or $3.62 psf. See above. Remember when everyone thought that cities were dead and nobody was ever going to live in a downtown apartment ever again? Yeah, that was funny.

  Charts: Urbanation

  2021.10.22

• Condo rents in Toronto are up 11.2% from last year

  Yesterday Urbanation released its Q2-2018 rental report for the Greater Toronto Area. It tracks both purpose-built rentals and condominium rentals, the latter being condominium units that are listed for rent on MLS. The average condo rent, for all unit types across the GTA, is up 11.2% year-over-year to a face rent of $2,302 per month.

  Here is a chart from the Globe and Mail:

  

  The former City of Toronto, which includes downtown, is actually up 13.5%:

  

  But here are the stats that I really wanted to draw your attention to today (figures from the Globe).

  According to Urbanation, there were some 384,000 condo apartments in the Greater Toronto Area in 2017 and nearly 1/3 of them were rented out. Given that the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation pegs the total number of rental apartments in the GTA at approximately 311,596, condo apartments represent about 40% of all our rental housing stock.

  So condo buildings are actually doing quite a bit of heavy lifting when it comes to providing rental housing in this region.

  2018.07.14