All of the talk of people moving to Miami over the last two years is certainly coming through in the numbers. According to this recent rental report by Realtor.com, residential rents in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metro area increased 55.3% on a year-over-year basis (as of February 2022). And the next 2 metro areas on the list are also in Florida. This is compared to a 17.1% increase for national rents, which is quite a bit lower, but still a massive increase. These are clearly unsustainable numbers and eventually things will settle down. How exactly things settle down is yet to be determined. But for right now, the above figure feels to me like a pretty good answer to the following question: If you had the flexibility to work from anywhere, where would you go? Somewhere sunny, I guess.
Tag: rental rates
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Construction costs are no joke right now
I don’t know what it’s like in your market, but everyone is talking about it in the industry here in Toronto. Combine these rapidly rising hard costs with higher development charges and inclusionary zoning and you get significant upward pressure on condo prices and apartment rents.
This is also one of the reasons – perhaps it is the main reason – why you’re seeing some projects get cancelled. These are projects that maybe sold in one market (lower revenues) and are now trying to build in another (higher costs). The math no longer works. Sorry.
I mention this today not to complain, although I’m always up for a good industry commiseration over beers, but because I often hear people lament that Toronto needs better design. Why aren’t developers using triple-glazed windows? Why aren’t developers thermally breaking the balconies?
I will always advocate for better design. That is core to my belief system. But everything costs money. There are very real limits in this equation. And markets have a funny way of telling you exactly what those are.
Photo by Filip Mroz on Unsplash
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738,000 single-family homes were built last year in the US
The New York Times recently published “a portrait of new single-family homes” in the US in 2016. Here’s that portrait:
For those of those living in dense urban centers, this portrait is perhaps a reminder that in many other places a large single-family home can be had for about the price of a studio apartment.
Nothing in the above portrait likely surprised you, but it’s interesting to note that over half of all new single family homes delivered last year were in “The South.” Only 7% were built in the dense northeast.
The New York Times also recently looked at “international rents per square foot” using data from RentCafe. Here they are:
New York City sits at the top with an average rent of $4.98 psf. This is across all boroughs. I am surprised by how low some of these international rents are. But averages rarely tell you the whole story.
In any event, I do think that these two graphics start to speak to the economic spikiness that we are seeing across the US.
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Rental apartment expansion in Detroit
The Detroit Free Press recently published a summary of some of the new rental apartments coming online in and around downtown Detroit. Here’s the map that they published along with their piece:
Based on this article, demand is outstripping new supply and rents are starting to push above $2 per square foot. This strikes me as a solid number given that there are also for sale lots/houses in the city going for $10,000.
Going back to some of the posts I have written about rental apartment development in Toronto, you might remember that $3 psf is roughly our magic number given current cost structures.
In some special circumstances you might be able to get a project off the ground with rents closer to $2 psf, but that’s an exception to the rule. There are many areas in the Toronto region with $2 psf rents and few, if any, new rental apartments.
But Detroit is obviously a different city, as is every real estate market.
Land would be cheaper. Many of these new rental apartments are conversions of existing buildings (which were probably bought for cents on the dollar). And I wouldn’t be surprised if there are tax abatements and other incentives to encourage more development.
I also wonder if people in the city aren’t being at least partially drawn to multi-family buildings because of the safety and security benefits. That’s something that certainly came up when I was in Detroit last weekend.
Regardless, this is a good news story for Detroit, which is not always the story you hear people telling of the city.