Daily insights for city builders, delivered every morning at 6 AM ET. I’m Brandon Donnelly — a Toronto-based real estate developer and founder of Globizen. I’ve been writing here since 2013.

Tag: condominium development

  • Junction House Sales Gallery — Now Open

    We just received a bunch of photos back of our Junction House Sales Gallery. So today is photo day on the blog. (Thank you Dialogue 38 for coordinating these.)

    Here’s the front “gallery” area. The artwork hanging on the wall is by local artist, Leeay Aikawa. Her work is terrific. You can see this space as you walk along Dundas Street West.

    Here is the model suite pavilion and main reception area (evening shot). The bar area is absurdly long. It was designed to accommodate beers from Indie Ale House down the street.

    Dialogue 38, the designers of the space, really wanted the model suite to be a “pavilion” — something akin to Mies van der Rohe’s Barcelona Pavilion. So here’s the ramp that takes you up and inside.

    Finally, here’s the model suite. The kitchen is by Scavolini. And the backsplash is a penny tile.

    The sales gallery is located at 2720 Dundas Street West and is now open every day of the week except Tuesdays. The hours are 1PM to 7PM during the week and 12PM to 5PM on the weekends.

  • We are all selfish bastards

    cyclist on bike lane by Axel Bueckert on 500px.com

    https://500px.com/embed.js

    We are all selfish bastards when it comes to sharing road space and public space.

    When we drive, we complain about pedestrians jumping out in front of us, crazy cyclists who get in our way, and under-utilized bike lanes that are taking away valuable driving space and creating traffic jams.

    When we take surface transit (such as buses and streetcars), we want all the cars out of the way so that we can move more efficiently. And we complain about drivers who don’t stop to let us off and on when the streetcar doors open. (Toronto specific reference.)

    When we cycle, we complain about cars parked in the bike lanes, people who don’t look before changing lanes or opening their car doors, and drivers who honk at you because they just want you off the road and onto the sidewalk.

    And when we walk, we complain about cyclists who ride on the sidewalk (they should be on the road!), cars that don’t stop to let us go, and slow walking groups who linearly block the entire sidewalk so you can’t pass.

    We are never happy. And we automatically assume that we could do it better. (I know I’m guilty of this.)

    But here are a few things to consider the next time you’re flipping the bird to someone on the streets. Here are a few things that we do know about urban mobility.

    There is an unprecedented number of condominiums in the development pipeline right now in Toronto. For argument’s sake, let’s assume 75,000 condominium suites – many of which will be built in central areas of the city.

    At a parking ratio of 0.6 stalls per unit, which isn’t an unreasonable assumption today, that’s 45,000 new parking spots and potentially 45,000 new cars in the city. 

    If you think that 45,000 new cars will be able to get fully absorbed into the core and somehow move around in an unfettered way, then I believe you are mistaken. 

    If you think that there’s something that can be done to magically expand road capacity to handle all of these additional cars in the city, then I believe you are mistaken.

    And if you think that adding a bike lane is the only reason you are currently stuck in traffic, then I believe you are missing the bigger picture.

    Over a decade ago, we made a decision in this region to encourage building up, instead of building out. And along with that decision came a necessary rethink of how we get around. That transition is what we are living through right now.

    The other thing we know is that the 4 modes of mobility that I started this post with are ordered from least sustainable to most sustainable. 

    Electric self-driving vehicles will reduce the impacts of driving, but it will also transform it into something that feels more like transit and less like the driving we know today. That will be a very good thing.

    But I’m not yet convinced that it will solve all of our problems. To do that I think we will need to adopt a much more balanced and unselfish view of what it takes to move around a city. That, of course, isn’t always easy.

  • America really is building very few condominiums

    On my way back from Philadelphia
    this past weekend I wrote a post called, The
    Philadelphia (real estate) story
    . It was about how opposite the market is
    in Philly compared to Toronto.

    After writing that post and
    because of a discussion in the comment section, I started thinking about condo
    vs. rental apartment development across the US. Because unlike cities such as
    Toronto and Vancouver, it struck me that – outside of maybe New York and Miami
    – most U.S. cities are really not building a lot of for sale condos. And if
    you’re from Toronto or Vancouver, I bet that feels odd to you.

    But what exactly is that number?

    As of the first quarter of 2015, condos as a percentage of all new
    multifamily (apartment) construction in the US was only 5.5%. That’s a tiny number and is down from
    over 50% before the Great Recession, which means most
    cities in the US really are building mostly rental. Last year the US built 264,000
    multifamily units across 11,000 buildings
    .

    So why is that happening?

    There appears to be a number of
    factors, according to a
    recent article in the Wall Street Journal
    .

    There’s a supply side
    constraint:

    Another obstacle cited by developers: construction loans. Matt
    Allen, chief
    operating officer of the Related Group, a developer based in Miami, said he can
    get a construction loan for roughly 75% of the cost of building an apartment
    complex. But lenders will cover only 50%, on average, of a condo complex’s cost
    because of the greater risk, he said.

    There’s a demand side
    constraint:

    As a result, the Federal Housing Administration, which
    backs mortgages made to low-wealth buyers, tightened its lending standards in a
    series of moves from 2008 to 2012. Under the new rules, in order for the FHA to
    insure mortgages in a given condo complex, at least half of the units must be
    owner-occupied and no more than half can be FHA-insured, among other
    requirements. For condo projects under development, at least 30% of units must
    be under contract for sale before the FHA will start backing mortgages there.
    Mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac tightened
    their standards as well.

    And there are macroeconomic
    factors:

    On the entry-level end, tepid job growth early in the
    recovery and the younger generation’s affinity for flexibility have fueled
    demand for rentals. Apartment rents are up nearly 16% since 2010, according to Reis Inc.

    Notwithstanding
    the above, could this be a post-recession policy pendulum that has swung
    too far in one direction?