Daily insights for city builders, delivered every morning at 6 AM ET. I’m Brandon Donnelly — a Toronto-based real estate developer and founder of Globizen. I’ve been writing here since 2013.

Tag: chamath palihapitiya

  • A discussion about Adam Neumann’s new residential apartment startup — Flow

    This an interesting discussion about Adam Neumann’s new startup Flow (which I recently wrote about here).

    More specifically though, the discussion is about venture capital firms backing “failed” entrepreneurs, and whether or not Flow can really be that much more valuable than your typical apartment REIT.

    In its simplest form, Flow might just end up being an apartment company with a strong national brand and a consistent resident experience. But maybe that’s all it needs to be.

    If the link doesn’t already do it for you, jump to the 7:19 mark to start with this discussion. After Flow, the podcast moves on to housing policy in the Bay Area, Houston, and Miami. So you may also want to stick around for that.

    Thank you Ocean Jangda for sending this over.

  • Weekly link roundup — laneway housing to SPACs

    Here’s a weekly round up of links and articles that you may find interesting. The topics cover the sorts of things that we usually talk about on this blog.

    • The latest Mackay Laneway House update is now live on the Globizen Journal. The ground floor steel is complete, with framing currently underway. The post has some background on the challenges faced in order to get to this stage.
    • Brick comparison. Here’s a recent tweet of mine. I’m curious if any of you can tell the difference between these two brick finishes and if you have a clear preference. One of them is stamped concrete and the other is real brick (precast concrete with brick slips).
    • Pools as art. Apparently this is a trend right now, but it’s not necessarily a new one. Pablo Picasso accidentally created one when he “signed” the bottom of one in Spain back in the early 1960s. A pool would be fun right now. [FT paywall]
    • Alley house in King’s Cross by architect David Adjaye is currently on the market for £6.5 million. Lots of black. I love the mint green room with the exposed concrete ceiling. Oh, and there’s a pool.
    • Nightclubs are, not surprisingly, really struggling. Most have been closed since March. Unlike restaurants, you can’t really hack together a solution with outdoor dining, heat lamps and takeout. They’re predicated on people being proximate to each other. [Sorry, another FT paywall]
    • SPACs are so hot right now, particularly in the world of Chamath Palihapitiya and Social Capital. A good follow-up to this week’s earlier post about $IPOB’s merger with real estate startup Opendoor.
    • Monocle has just published a new book about “gentle living.” It’s a guide to “slowing down, enjoying more and being happy.” I’m trying to do more of this, or at least be more mindful about it. It doesn’t always/usually work. Perhaps I need this book.
    • Decade of the home.” Opinion piece about the current desire for suburban over urban locations. If you’re a regular reader of this blog, you’ll know that I am steadfast in my belief that urban life is going to prove to be incredibly resilient on the other side of this.
    • McKinsey report about the impact that lockdown is having on digital adoption, e-commerce penetration, and the overall customer experience. You’ll need to enter some information in order to download the PDF, but it’s free.

    Photo: Lost House by Adjaye Associates via The Modern House

  • Revolutionizing the online buying and selling of consumer real estate

    This week it was announced that Social Capital Hedosophia II — a special purpose acquisition company associated with Chamath Palihapitiya — will merge with the real estate startup Opendoor, effectively taking the company public. Without going into all of the details, SPACs are kind of popular right now. They’re a way to take companies public without going through the traditional IPO process. And Chamath is clearly a believer in the approach, as he has gone ahead and reserved all of the symbols from “IPOA” to “IPOZ” on the New York Stock Exchange. $IPOB is what will be merging with Opendoor.

    But SPACs are not the point of this post. The point is that I have written a lot about Opendoor over the years on this blog. (Here are those post.) And I’m pretty sure that, on a number of occasions, I have referred to it as one of if not the most promising consumer-facing real estate startup. So in my view this announcement is a pretty big deal for both the company and for the industry. As Chamath puts it in the below investment thesis, “real estate is the largest, undisrupted form of buying/selling in the US worth more than $1.6 trillion annually.” And it’s only a matter of time before that process moves online.

  • Amazon might be buying Zoox

    This week the FT reported that Amazon is in “advanced talks” to acquire the self-driving startup Zoox. This would be Amazon’s first acquisition in the space, though it did lead a $530M funding round in Aurora in early 2019.

    Zoox last raised two years ago and was valued at $3.2 billion. Rumor has it that its valuation will be less than that today. Some of its investors, according to FT, include Breyer Capital and the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board.

    The move seems reasonable. Amazon wants to build out its (driverless) logistics capabilities. It’s also in keeping with what we have been seeing from big tech. Companies that can are using this environment to be acquisitive, invest in the future and, hopefully, gain market share. It’s probably also inevitable that the self-driving space will see some consolidation going forward.

    If you go back to this post from earlier this year, Zoox and Aurora weren’t near the top in terms of R&D spending on autonomy. And it has become increasingly clear that this a giant problem/opportunity requiring giant funding capabilities. It’s going to take time.

    I recently heard Chamath Palihapitiya refer to Jeff Bezos as the greatest investor of our time — even more so than Warren Buffet. Why? Because he is consistently, and sometimes exclusively, investing in the future. Is this one of those moments?

  • A post corona world

    There’s a lot of speculation (that’s all you can really do) about what our world is going to look like on the other side of this pandemic.

    I think it’s easy to overreach at a time like this and prognosticate dramatic change — such as the demise of cities and urbanity as we know it. But while I do believe that there are bound to be changes, I also know that after 9/11 most of us eventually stopped being afraid of flying and of being in tall buildings. We forgot and moved on.

    So, what might change?

    Scott Galloway argued on his blog today that “things won’t change as much as they will accelerate.” In other words, this pandemic is simply going to make the future happen faster. And one of those things is going to be a faster shift to online for higher education. It is untenable for education costs to continue increasing at the pace that they have been.

    In this recent Intelligencer interview with Chamath Palihapitiya, he puts forward the idea that medical data might start to be used publicly. Meaning that, after this is all done, we might be willing to give up a certain amount of our personal freedom in exchange for knowing whether we’re in a restaurant with someone who is shedding a communicable disease.

    And finally, Richard Florida recently published this online talk about how cities can bounce back from COVID-19. In it, he argues that, yes, cities will survive and that it could actually reinforce the “winner-take-all urbanism” that we have already been seeing.

    This, of course, is really just the start of the conversation.

  • Coastal dilettantes and venture capital

    Chamath Palihapitiya – founder and CEO of a VC firm called Social Capital – recently penned an op-ed in The Information called: “The Sunk Cost Fallacy and the Future of Silicon Valley.”

    Chamath is one of the most outspoken voices in Silicon Valley and is openly critical about the way the industry generally functions today. Here are two excerpts from his op-ed piece:

    “Chronic diseases like obesity, diabetes and heart disease are ravaging much of the U.S. and the world. Automation is eliminating the jobs of millions of well-meaning, law-abiding men and women. Weather patterns are increasingly unpredictable, disrupting water and food supplies and displacing millions of people. But despite this trail of breadcrumbs of big problems and big markets, we still find it difficult to fund potentially big solutions. Instead, we keep doubling down on the easy things.”  

    “Easy short-term growth is now so highly valued in Silicon Valley that we often overlook technical innovation, sustainable long-term growth and meaningful progress in markets that matter. Every week adds to the corpus of press releases from companies with quick, fleeting growth overcapitalized beyond rationalization. And after too many years of this, Silicon Valley is now typecast as a monoculture of coastal dilettantes who float from one meaningless endeavor to another, tone deaf to real problems.”

    Social Capital was founded in response to these criticisms. Their mission is to improve society by using technology to solve big problems – problems like the ones mentioned above.

    Another firm with a similar mission is Obvious Ventures. They call what they do #worldpositive investing. Their goal is to only fund companies that deliver social and environmental benefits along with every dollar earned.

    It’s interesting to think about how capital gets allocated and whether or not it will result in meaningful benefits to the world. Because this is not just about venture capital. You could substitute venture capital for many other asset classes and ask similar questions.

  • Is venture-based real estate development coming to the Bay Area?

    Golden Gate Bridge by Mariusz Blach on 500px.com

    https://500px.com/embed.js

    Chamath
    Palihapitiya
    is a Sri Lanka born, Canada educated, venture capitalist in
    Silicon Valley, who made a boatload of money as one of the early employees of
    Facebook. He now runs a VC firm called Social +
    Capital
     and owns part of the Golden State Warriors.

    The other
    night he was interviewed at a StrictlyVC event in San Francisco and I think
    that many of his comments would also be of real interest to the Architect This City
    community. He’s super passionate in interviews and always fun to listen to.

    Below is what
    he had to say about the San Francisco startup scene. It really speaks volumes
    about what people will put up with in order to live in an awesome place/city that they love. All of his responses below are from this
    TechCrunch article
    .

    “The city has to be doing more, around
    transportation, around housing… You have to get rid of the nimbyism and you
    need to quadruple, if not quintuple, the amount of housing. You need to tell
    that engineer from the University of Michigan that he can live here on a salary
    of $80,000.

    [In the meantime], we look at our startups, and
    the minute that they start to spend more than 15 percent of their burn – good
    money that we give them – on rent, a huge red flag goes up. When they, on a
    per-head-count basis, are spending so much, we start looking at the
    productivity of the technical team. And if it’s good but not great and they’re
    spending this insane amount of money [versus] a different team in Redwood City,
    we start to ask ourselves: “Are you so convinced that success is going to
    happen in this city at 1.5x the cost?”

    Because for every dollar that someone in
    Mountain View or Redwood City is raising, you [in San Francisco] have to raise
    one-and-a-half to two times that just to get to the same point. So you’re cutting
    your half life in half. To prove that you can take an Uber from some fuckin’
    shitty bar to another shitty bar? Like, I don’t understand.”

    And here he
    talks about the possibility of his venture firm also getting into the real
    estate development business. I couldn’t resist blogging about this.

    “We made a big
    decision with our last fund to build an organization that looks really
    different than a venture firm, and that organization is going to be this
    hybrid, bastard stepchild of Berkshire Hathaway and Blackstone and BlackRock.

    What I mean by this is
    that we want to have a large permanent capital base and we want to make really
    long, discontinuous bets on companies and sectors and trends.

    And one of the things
    we talked about was having a real estate fund …[because] we owe it to our
    companies to alleviate some of these problems when no one else is going to. If
    we went and built one million square feet somewhere of mixed use, where you
    work and live, and we rethink what it means to have a modular living environment
    for a millennial cohort that wants to work at companies and doesn’t necessarily
    have kids, we can do that in a way and give that back to our CEOs as a benefit
    of working with us.

    And you can probably
    make the economics work. Because we only really care about the equity of the
    company anyways. And the equity in the real estate will take care of itself if
    you take the 30-year view. So we’re at the point now where we’re like, wow, we
    should raise a few billion dollars and get into the real estate business and
    solve this problem systematically for our companies. And maybe in that, it
    becomes a blueprint for how others should do it. We’re just basically going to
    act as our own city-state and decide how to do it ourselves.”

    It’s
    interesting to think about what the economics might look like if your primary goal is
    simply to provide space to your portfolio companies (entrepreneurs) so that
    they get more (financial) runway and, therefore, have a greater chance of success. I’d love to see that pro forma.

  • Getting Facebook to 1 billion users

    What to focus on:

    • Getting users in
    • Bringing them to an ‘aha’ moment as quickly as possible
    • Delivering value, often