Big news today in development land. The federal government just announced that it has removed sales tax (GST/HST) from new rental housing effective immediately. This is a significant step in the right direction, and something that we have spoken about many times before on the blog.

Here's how things used to work:

In the case of a newly constructed or substantially renovated multiple-unit residential complex or addition to a multiple-unit residential complex, the builder must generally self-assess GST/HST on the fair market value of the whole of the substantially completed multiple-unit residential complex or addition when possession of the first unit is given under a lease, licence or similar arrangement as a place of residence of an individual.

What this is saying is that if you build new rental housing, and even if you plan to continue owning it forever, you need to determine the fair market value of the property and then pay HST on that amount. In Ontario, the HST rate is 13%. However, the effective rate was a bit lower because of new rental rebates. Let's say it was somewhere around 11%.

Now that this no longer needs to be paid, a lot of rental projects that were flirting at the margin should suddenly make economic sense. Which is why I tweeted earlier today that every housing developer in Canada is right now dusting off their "what if we built rental" development pro forma. It didn't work yesterday, but maybe it does today!

Today is a good day for new rental housing supply in Canada.

Update: This announcement only relates to the federal portion of the HST. The feds are now calling on provinces to follow suit.

The Greater Toronto Area builds a lot more condominiums than purpose-built rental units. This isn't the case everywhere though. I was recently reading an article about Salt Lake City and how developers there don't want to build condominiums. It's mostly rental housing. There's simply too much risk and liability with condominiums. I guess this is one of the reasons why real estate is often said to be a local business.

In any event, because of this dynamic in Toronto, condominium rentals are often used to measure the health of the overall rental market. There are simply more recent comparables to point to when you're trying to figure out what is "market." The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board recently published its Q2-2021 rental market report and here is what they found when it comes to condominium apartment rental transactions in the Greater Toronto Area:

Q2-2021 - 14,920 transactions

Q1-2021 - 13,168 transactions

Q2-2020 - 7,300 transactions

What this report tells us is that rental demand is returning. Transactions and rents are up compared to the first quarter of this year and certainly compared to Q2 of last year (2020), which was the low point of this pandemic. We are not yet back to where we were in Q1-2020 when the city was firing on all cylinders, but I have no doubt that we will get there and ultimately surpass those figures.

For the full rental market report, click here.

Photo by Narciso Arellano on Unsplash

The Detroit Free Press recently published a summary of some of the new rental apartments coming online in and around downtown Detroit. Here’s the map that they published along with their piece:

Based on this article, demand is outstripping new supply and rents are starting to push above $2 per square foot. This strikes me as a solid number given that there are also for sale lots/houses in the city going for $10,000.

Going back to some of the posts I have written about rental apartment development in Toronto, you might remember that $3 psf is roughly our magic number given current cost structures.

In some special circumstances you might be able to get a project off the ground with rents closer to $2 psf, but that’s an exception to the rule. There are many areas in the Toronto region with $2 psf rents and few, if any, new rental apartments.

But Detroit is obviously a different city, as is every real estate market.

Land would be cheaper. Many of these new rental apartments are conversions of existing buildings (which were probably bought for cents on the dollar). And I wouldn’t be surprised if there are tax abatements and other incentives to encourage more development. 

I also wonder if people in the city aren’t being at least partially drawn to multi-family buildings because of the safety and security benefits. That’s something that certainly came up when I was in Detroit last weekend.

Regardless, this is a good news story for Detroit, which is not always the story you hear people telling of the city.