All of the talk of people moving to Miami over the last two years is certainly coming through in the numbers. According to this recent rental report by Realtor.com, residential rents in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metro area increased 55.3% on a year-over-year basis (as of February 2022). And the next 2 metro areas on the list are also in Florida. This is compared to a 17.1% increase for national rents, which is quite a bit lower, but still a massive increase. These are clearly unsustainable numbers and eventually things will settle down. How exactly things settle down is yet to be determined. But for right now, the above figure feels to me like a pretty good answer to the following question: If you had the flexibility to work from anywhere, where would you go? Somewhere sunny, I guess.
Today it was announced that Zillow.com will be buying Trulia.com for $3.5 billion in a stock-for-stock transaction. Based on share of web visits, the biggest real estate website in the US has just acquired the 2nd biggest.
Both companies make the bulk of their money through advertising sales to real estate professionals (i.e. agents and brokers). But what was interesting to read in their press release is that, even with this merger, the combined revenue of both Zillow and Trulia still only represents about 4% of the estimated $12 billion that US real estate professionals spend on marketing each year.
Zillow says it’s because the real estate industry hasn’t fully made the switch to online and mobile – and thus it represents a huge market opportunity for them. And from my experience I would say that this is likely the case. But it could also be because the real estate community is putting their marketing dollars elsewhere online.
Whatever the case may be, Zillow.com (and its portfolio of companies) is now firmly positioned as the largest real estate website in the US. But even still, Zillow.com has never felt fully “net native” to me. It has never felt as if it were specifically built for the internet and that it’s only possible because of the internet. Instead, it feels like an offline model ported over to online. And the two are quite different.
The reason I feel this way is because there’s an inherent tension to the way the online residential real estate market works today. Virtually every lead generation tool (that agents use) is intended to funnel buyers and sellers to them. That’s why so many real estate websites have sucked for so long. Because the goal wasn’t to keep you locked into a website, it was to get you to connect, in person, with an agent.