# Why traffic fatalities are lower in Canada than in the US By [Brandon Donnelly](https://brandondonnelly.com) ยท 2022-07-01 chicago, david-zipper, los-angeles, malcolm-gladwell, mobility, montreal, new-york-city, paris, public-transit, road-safety, toronto, traffic-fatalities, urban, urbanism, vancouver --- ![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/47e5f5429f7d21a001a9b1c4ed0b2273.jpg) [We've talked about this before](https://brandondonnelly.com/2022/06/10/turns-out-big-cities-are-pretty-safe/). If you live in New York City, you're probably about a third as likely to die from a transportation-related accident as compared to the average American. And if you live in Paris, you're probably about a third as likely to die from a transportation-related accident as compared to the average New Yorker. These stats might feel a bit intuitive to you. Both New York and Paris are big and dense metros with high public transit ridership. And that usually translates into less car accidents. As for the divide between these two cities, Paris is in Europe. It's old. Most of its streets were built before the car had been invented. And all of these things are generally good for pedestrians. Makes sense. But David Zipper [asked a good question today](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-01/why-canada-isn-t-having-a-traffic-safety-crisis): So what's going on with Canada? Canada is not in Europe (though some might argue that it sits culturally somewhere between the US and Europe). It's not that old. And it generally has a car-oriented landscape just like the US. So why is it that in 2020, Americans were 2.5x more likely than Canadians to die in a car crash? The trend lines are also diverging between these two countries. Between 2010 to 2020, US road deaths increased 19% on a per capita basis, whereas Canada's rate _declined_ by about the same rate, according to David. Ultimately, we are probably going to need [Malcolm Gladwell](https://brandondonnelly.com/2020/10/25/suicides-cities-and-the-concept-of-coupling/) to write a book about this so that we can really figure out what's going on. But in the interim, David does propose a few possible explanations ranging from Canadians buying slightly smaller vehicles to Canadians being slightly more law-abiding than Americans and so less likely to run people over. But one of the most persuasive explanations for me is that maybe our urban landscapes aren't actually the same. More than a third of Canadians live in our three biggest cities: Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver. And this number would be even higher if you looked at the full urban catchment areas of each. Either way, this is a significantly higher concentration than in the US, where about 13% of Americans live in the metro areas of New York City, Los Angeles, and Chicago. Part of this difference is because the US has almost 9x more people and has many more big cities to choose from. But it doesn't change the fact that, despite our reputed love for things like forests and beavers, Canadians are actually quite urban. [And as we have discovered](https://brandondonnelly.com/2022/06/10/turns-out-big-cities-are-pretty-safe/), that's a good thing for pedestrians. _Photo by_ [_Jamshed Khedri_](https://unsplash.com/@jamked?utm_source=unsplash&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=creditCopyText) _on_ [_Unsplash_](https://unsplash.com/?utm_source=unsplash&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=creditCopyText) --- *Originally published on [Brandon Donnelly](https://brandondonnelly.com/why-traffic-fatalities-are-lower-in-canada-than-in-the-us)*